Latest Celestia (TIA) News Update

Deep Dive

1. @MrMinNin: Modular’s quiet contender bullish

“At ~$1, the market’s ignoring Celestia – but rollups paying fees in $TIA could change everything. Deflationary tilt via 8%→1.5% inflation by 2030.”
– @MrMinNin (3.38K followers · 456 likes · 2025-10-22 19:21 UTC)
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What this means: Bullish for $TIA because modular blockchain adoption would directly increase demand for its data availability services, while decreasing supply growth could amplify price effects if usage rises.

2. @kerimcalender: Unlock overhang looms bearish

“995K $TIA enter circulation daily – down to 344K/day in 55 days. Early investors got in at $0.01-$1; current $0.87 invites sell pressure.”
– @kerimcalender (379K followers · 42.8K likes · 2025-09-06 13:17 UTC)
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What this means: Bearish short-term as daily token unlocks from early backers risk flooding the market, though reduced unlocks post-November 2025 could ease pressure.

3. @VipRoseTr: Descending channel breakout? mixed

“$TIA breaking $6.20 resistance – targets $2.20 → $4.20. Volume confirms rally prep.”
– @VipRoseTr (63.8K followers · 44.3K likes · 2025-09-10 15:19 UTC)
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What this means: Mixed signals – the proposed $6.20 breakout level (vs current $0.87) appears disconnected from reality, but rising volume could indicate speculative interest.

Conclusion

The consensus on $TIA is mixed, balancing long-term modular infrastructure hopes against brutal tokenomics and price action. While developers tout its rollup-as-a-service potential, traders eye the $2.30–$2.70 support zone as make-or-break. Watch the daily unlock tracker – reduced supply inflation post-November could be the catalyst needed to reverse its 52% 90-day decline.

Deep Dive

1. Market-Wide Pressures Weigh on TIA (12 November 2025)

Overview:
TIA dropped to $0.975 (-16% weekly) as the crypto market lost $300B from October highs. Bitcoin’s slide below $100K and AI sector weakness drove risk-off sentiment.

What this means:
Bearish for TIA in the short term, as macro selloffs often hit altcoins hardest. However, the broader market’s recovery potential (post-U.S. government shutdown resolution) could stabilize prices if BTC rebounds. (Cryptodaily)

2. TIA Surges 19% Amid Altcoin Rebound (9 November 2025)

Overview:
TIA surged 19% to reclaim $1, fueled by a spike in daily transactions (48,424) and DEX volume ($244B). Technicals showed a breakout above a descending channel, with RVI volatility at 75 signaling momentum.

What this means:
Bullish signal for TIA’s network utility and trader sentiment. Sustaining $1 could target $1.60, but profit-taking risks loom after such a sharp rally. (AMBCrypto)

3. Celestia Touted as Altseason Contender (8 November 2025)

Overview:
Analysts flagged TIA as a top altseason pick, citing its role in modular blockchains (separating data/consensus layers). Over 60% of new rollups use Celestia’s architecture.

What this means:
Long-term bullish for TIA if modular adoption accelerates. However, token value depends on real rollup usage – a high-risk, high-reward bet on infrastructure trends. (CryptoNewsLand)

Conclusion

TIA’s narrative swings between short-term market fragility and long-term modular potential. While macro headwinds and profit-taking pose risks, its infrastructure role keeps it on altseason watchlists. Will modular adoption outpace token unlocks and selling pressure in 2026?

Deep Dive

1. Solana 3.x Devnet Integration (30 October 2025)

Overview: Solaxy’s Celestia migration introduced support for Solana 3.x on devnet, improving node reliability and transaction simulation.
This update includes versioned transactions (enabling backward compatibility) and robust error handling for simulation endpoints. Node operators must upgrade to access future block rewards and incentive programs.

What this means: This is bullish for Celestia because smoother node operations could attract more developers to build modular rollups. However, delays in migration timelines (3–4 weeks as of October 2025) may temporarily slow ecosystem growth. (Source)

2. Lotus Upgrade (June 2025)

Overview: Celestia’s v4 mainnet upgrade reduced TIA’s annual inflation from 7.2% to ~5% and integrated Hyperlane for cross-chain interoperability.
The upgrade allows TIA to natively interact with Ethereum, Base, and Arbitrum via Cosmos SDK modules. It also disabled auto-claiming of staking rewards, giving users tax flexibility.

What this means: This is neutral-to-bullish for TIA. Lower inflation tightens supply, but reduced staking rewards could deter short-term validators. Interoperability strengthens Celestia’s role as a modular data layer. (Source)

3. Staking Reward Locking (June 2025)

Overview: CIP-31 locks staking rewards proportionally to a user’s vesting schedule. For example, if 50% of tokens are locked, only half of rewards are accessible immediately.
This prevents large holders from bypassing lockup periods via high-commission validators (capped at 25%).

What this means: This is bearish for short-term liquidity but bullish for long-term stability. It reduces immediate sell pressure from institutional stakeholders like Polychain, which reportedly earned $80M from rewards. (Source)

Conclusion

Celestia’s updates prioritize modular interoperability (Hyperlane), sustainable tokenomics (lower inflation), and aligned stakeholder incentives (reward locking). These changes position TIA as infrastructure-first, but adoption hinges on attracting rollups amid Ethereum’s DA saturation. Will reduced inflation offset validator attrition from lower staking yields?

Deep Dive

1. Blobspace Scaling (Q1 2026)

Overview:
Celestia aims to expand its modular data availability (DA) layer to support rising demand from rollups. This involves increasing blobspace capacity through optimizations in Data Availability Sampling (DAS) and block size parameters.

What this means:
Bullish for TIA as higher DA demand directly increases fee revenue paid in TIA. Risks include competition from EigenDA and Avail, which could dilute market share if scaling lags.

2. Lazy Bridging Mainnet (2026)

Overview:
Following 2025’s testnet demo, Lazy Bridging will launch on mainnet, allowing rollups to share liquidity via ZK-proof verified token transfers. The upgrade includes a generic verification module compatible with Ethereum and Solana.

What this means:
Bullish for adoption – seamless cross-chain swaps could attract developers seeking frictionless DeFi interoperability. Bearish if security audits reveal vulnerabilities in ZK circuits.

3. Proof of Governance (2026)

Overview:
A proposed overhaul to staking mechanics, replacing inflationary rewards with a burn mechanism tied to governance participation. Validators would earn fees instead of new token issuance, aiming for deflationary pressure.

What this means:
Neutral-to-bullish – reduced sell pressure from staking rewards could stabilize prices, but depends on whether fee revenue offsets lost incentives for node operators.

4. Node Incentives Upgrade (Q4 2025)

Overview:
The Lotus upgrade (live on devnet) adjusts staking reward distribution, locking rewards proportionally to each account’s unlocked TIA balance. This aims to reduce sell pressure from large validators.

What this means:
Short-term bearish if locked rewards limit liquidity, but long-term bullish by aligning stakeholder incentives with network health.

Conclusion

Celestia’s roadmap prioritizes infrastructure for modular blockchain adoption, with scaling and interoperability as key growth vectors. While technical execution risks persist, successful delivery could cement TIA as a core DA asset.

How will competing DA layers like EigenDA impact Celestia’s market share as scaling intensifies?