Deep Dive
1. @Mihawk_Research: Network activity underpins recovery hopes bullish
“Unique users” above 4.16 million, 500,000+ daily transactions and roughly 32,000 active addresses are cited as reasons XPL could move toward $0.40–$0.50. These are the poster’s claims and target, not independently confirmed here.
– @Mihawk_Research (3,877 followers · impressions not supplied · 2026-08-25 06:57 UTC)
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What this means: This is bullish for XPL because the thesis ties token upside to actual network use. It depends on sustained activity translating into demand for XPL.
2. @SamiKha88631048: Usage must outrun supply pressure mixed
The post says a bounce depends on holding $0.08, while further upside requires real payment volume; it also warns that unlocks and weak activity could weigh on price.
– @SamiKha88631048 (18,866 followers · impressions not supplied · 2026-09-08 15:06 UTC)
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What this means: This is neutral for XPL because it sets clear conditions for either direction rather than assuming a recovery.
3. @edwardmorra_btc: Wait for a confirmed chart reversal bearish
On 17 June, the trader said XPL needed to close above a previous lower high to signal a trend change, cautioning that traders had been “burned” by similar price action.
– @edwardmorra_btc (62,298 followers · impressions not supplied · 2026-06-17 18:05 UTC)
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What this means: This is bearish for XPL because it treats a rally without confirmation as vulnerable to fading. This post is older than 30 days.
Conclusion
The consensus on XPL is mixed, with optimism tied to network use and caution centered on supply and unconfirmed price strength. Recent social posts are thin; a 1 November report flagged scheduled monthly releases of about 227.78 million XPL on the 25th. XPL was $0.0499 on 13 November, down 11.94% over seven days (CoinMarketCap). Watch whether the 25 November release is met by measurable activity and demand.null