Tensor (TNSR) Price Prediction

By CMC AI
25 January 2026 06:47PM (UTC+0)

TLDR

Tensor faces mixed catalysts: bullish tokenomics shifts but bearish NFT market headwinds.

  1. Tokenomics Upgrade: Supply shock from 21.6% token burn + fee boost to treasury (Bullish)

  2. NFT Market Slump: Solana NFT volumes down 36% YoY, pressuring utility (Bearish)

  3. Volatility Risk: Top 10 wallets hold 68% supply + RSI 35 signals oversold bounce potential (Mixed)

Deep Dive

1. Tokenomics Revamp (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The November 2025 governance shift burned 21.6% of TNSR’s total supply and redirected 100% of Tensor Marketplace fees (vs. 50% previously) to its treasury. This dual mechanism reduces sell pressure while growing protocol-owned capital for grants and ecosystem incentives.

What this means: Reduced supply against rising treasury assets could create fundamental support for price discovery, especially if NFT activity rebounds. Historical precedent shows supply burns (e.g., Ethereum’s EIP-1559) often precede valuation resets.

2. NFT Market Contraction (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Solana NFT trading volume has declined 36% year-over-year, with Tensor’s daily volume averaging just $20k as of November 2025. This mirrors sector-wide headwinds as NFT interest shifts to newer formats like memecoins and RWA tokenization.

What this means: TNSR’s utility relies heavily on marketplace activity. Sustained volume depression could erode treasury growth projections and governance participation, potentially accelerating sell-offs during market stress.

3. Whale Concentration & Technicals (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The top 10 TNSR wallets control ~68% of circulating supply, creating liquidation risks during volatility. Technically, RSI 35 approaches oversold territory, while price trades 42% below its 30-day SMA – historically a reversal zone.

What this means: High concentration magnifies both upside (coordinated holding) and downside (whale selling) risks. Current oversold signals suggest near-term bounce potential, but reclaiming $0.063 (7-day SMA) is critical for trend reversal confirmation.

Conclusion

TNSR’s path hinges on NFT market recovery versus its strengthened tokenomics. While supply reduction provides structural support, stagnant NFT volumes limit immediate utility. Watch Solana NFT volumes – a 15% sustained increase could validate bullish treasury growth models. Does TNSR’s governance framework position it to capture the next NFT innovation cycle?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.