Render (RENDER) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. AI Compute Expansion (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Render’s RNP-021 proposal, approved in October 2025, enables enterprise-grade GPUs (NVIDIA H200, AMD MI300X) to join its decentralized network. This positions RENDER to capture demand from AI training and 3D rendering – sectors projected to grow 30% annually through 2030 (Render Network).

What this means:
Expanding GPU access directly ties RENDER burns to AI/rendering demand. With 999,327 RENDER burned YTD and node rewards at 15,000 RENDER/week, increased usage could tighten supply while mints incentivize network growth.

2. Overheated Technicals (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
RENDER’s 54% January surge pushed its 24-hour RSI to 75.97, signaling extreme overbought conditions. Liquidation heatmaps show $5.8M in shorts could trigger at $2.93, while $2.10 acts as critical support (AMBCrypto).

What this means:
The 200-day EMA ($2.75) caps upside, and derivatives data shows longs dominating (L/S Ratio 1.02). A failure to hold $2.40 could cascade into profit-taking, especially with 30-day volatility at 53.7%.

3. RenderCon 2025 (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Scheduled for April 15 in Hollywood, this event features NVIDIA, Stability AI, and Hollywood executives. Past conferences correlated with 20-30% price swings in the following month.

What this means:
Positive product demos or partnerships (like rumored Disney collab) could reignite momentum. However, “sell the news” dynamics are likely if announcements lack substance, given the 90-day -16% return trend.

Conclusion

Render’s AI pivot offers structural demand, but January’s parabolic move risks short-term correction. Watch the $2.40 support and RenderCon announcements – will enterprise adoption outpace trader profit-taking?

Could RENDER’s burn rate accelerate enough to offset emissions from node rewards?