Deep Dive
1. Broad Market Weakness (Bearish Impact)
Overview: The total crypto market cap fell 1.31% in 24h (5 Dec 2025), with altcoins particularly pressured as Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.67%. Mantle’s -2.97% drop exceeded the sector average.
What this means: In Fear-dominated markets (CMC Fear Index: 25), investors often reduce exposure to mid-cap tokens like MNT first. The 30-day correlation between MNT and ETH stands at 0.89, amplifying downside when Ethereum struggles (-1.8% in 24h).
What to watch: Bitcoin’s $86k support – a break could trigger deeper altcoin liquidations.
2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Near-Term)
Overview: MNT broke below its 30-day SMA ($1.13) and 200-day EMA ($1.23). The RSI-14 at 43.19 shows room for further downside before oversold conditions.
What this means:
- Bearish confirmation came as price rejected the 50% Fibonacci retracement level ($1.13).
- Next support at $1.00 (psychological level + 61.8% Fib). A close below could target $0.896 (2025 low).
What to watch: MACD histogram turning positive (-0.021 to +0.021) – early sign of momentum shift.
3. Post-News Profit Taking (Mixed Impact)
Overview: MNT initially rallied on 3 Dec’s Aave-Mantle-Bybit integration news but reversed gains (-3.5% since announcement).
What this means:
- “Buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamics played out despite the partnership’s long-term potential.
- Aave’s simultaneous proposal to sunset low-revenue chains (unrelated to Mantle) may have created collateral uncertainty.
What to watch: AAVE’s performance (+14% since integration) – sustained strength could renew MNT demand.
Conclusion
Mantle’s dip reflects crypto-wide risk aversion amplified by technical breakdowns and profit-taking after a major catalyst. While bearish momentum dominates short-term charts, the Aave/Bybit partnership (targeting 70M+ users) could stabilize prices if market sentiment improves.
Key watch: Can MNT hold $1.00 support alongside Bitcoin’s $86k level? A breach of either could extend losses.