Deep Dive
1. Market-Wide Risk-Off Sentiment
The primary driver is a broader crypto sell-off. The total market cap fell 1.89% in 24h, with Bitcoin down 1.7%. This was fueled by persistent institutional selling, as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw another $133.3 million in net outflows on February 18 (CoinDesk). Market sentiment remains in "Extreme Fear" with a CMC index of 11, compressing risk appetite across all altcoins.
What it means: LRC is moving with the negative beta of the market, not due to its own news.
Watch for: A reversal in broader market sentiment, signaled by Bitcoin reclaiming $68,000 and ETF flows turning positive.
2. Technical Breakdown and Low Conviction
LRC's price is trading well below its 7-day SMA ($0.0347) and 30-day SMA ($0.0413), confirming a strong bearish trend. The RSI-7 at 24.65 indicates the asset is deeply oversold, yet the 24h trading volume fell 31.27% to $7.56 million, showing a lack of buying interest to counter the decline.
What it means: The downtrend is technically intact, and low volume suggests capitulation may not be complete, leaving room for further weakness.
Watch for: A bullish divergence where price makes a lower low but RSI forms a higher low, which could signal selling exhaustion.
3. Near-term Market Outlook
The immediate path depends on whether LRC can hold the $0.030 support level. With no specific catalyst on the horizon, its direction will be tied to broader crypto market movements. If selling pressure in Bitcoin ETFs persists, LRC could break $0.030 and target its 2026 lows near $0.027. A recovery would require LRC to reclaim its 7-day SMA near $0.0347, which would require a significant shift in market-wide risk appetite.
What it means: The bias remains bearish until key resistance levels are reclaimed on meaningful volume.
Watch for: The $0.030 support level. A high-volume break below it would confirm renewed selling momentum.
Conclusion
Market Outlook: Bearish Pressure
Loopring's decline is a symptom of a risk-averse market and its own weak technical posture, with no internal catalyst to spark a reversal.
Key watch: Monitor whether LRC can defend the $0.030 support in the next 24-48h, as a failure could trigger another leg down.