Conflux (CFX) Price Prediction

By CMC AI
08 December 2025 04:21PM (UTC+0)

TLDR

Conflux's price teeters between upgrade momentum and regulatory headwinds.

  1. Network Upgrades – Conflux 3.0’s 15K TPS and AI integration (bullish, Q3 2025)

  2. Yuan Stablecoin Adoption – Offshore CNH₀ use in Belt and Road trade (mixed, regulatory risk)

  3. Technical Resistance – Struggles below 200-day SMA ($0.125) signal bearish inertia

Deep Dive

1. Network Scalability & AI Integration (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Conflux 3.0, launched in August 2025, increased throughput to 15,000 TPS and enabled on-chain AI agents for smart contracts. A September hardfork (CIP-156 activation) aims to optimize PoS consensus and RPC efficiency.

What this means:
Higher throughput could attract developers building real-world asset (RWA) and cross-border payment dApps, increasing CFX utility. Historical precedent: CFX surged 100% in July 2025 on upgrade rumors (Conflux Network). However, post-upgrade sell-offs are common if adoption lags.

2. Offshore Yuan Stablecoin Pilots (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Conflux’s CNH₀ stablecoin, pegged to offshore yuan, targets Belt and Road corridors like Singapore and Malaysia. Partner AnchorX reported $2–4B monthly trade volume projections.

What this means:
Successful adoption could anchor CFX as a settlement layer, boosting transaction fees and staking demand. But China’s strict crypto bans create regulatory overhang—Ant Group and JD.com halted similar projects in 2025 (Finance Magnates).

3. Technical and Sentiment Challenges (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
CFX trades 42% below its 200-day SMA ($0.125), with RSI 34.22 indicating neutral momentum. Fear dominates crypto markets (CMC Fear & Greed Index: 24/100).

What this means:
Until CFX reclaims $0.123 (23.6% Fib level), downside risk persists. Low altcoin dominance (29.38% of crypto market) and Bitcoin’s 58.43% dominance further pressure speculative alts like CFX.

Conclusion

Conflux’s price hinges on delivering 3.0’s promised scalability while navigating China’s regulatory minefield. The CNH₀ stablecoin offers a lifeline for cross-border utility but faces geopolitical risks. For traders, watch September’s hardfork uptake and whether CFX stabilizes above $0.08. Can Conflux turn its “China-compliant” niche into a lasting advantage, or will macro headwinds drown out its tech strides?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.