Blur (BLUR) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlocks & Vesting Schedules (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
29% of BLUR’s supply (870M tokens) is allocated to contributors and developers, with vesting periods extending to February 2027. Investors hold 19% (570M tokens), also locked until 2026. These unlocks could increase selling pressure if holders exit post-vesting.

What this means:
Historically, large token unlocks (e.g., Blur’s May 2023 unlock) have correlated with price declines. With BLUR already down 91% from its ATH, sustained unlocks may prolong bearish momentum unless countered by demand spikes.

2. NFT Market Share Wars (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Blur controls ~63% of Ethereum NFT volume but faces pressure from OpenSea’s pivot to a multi-chain trading aggregator and Spaace’s anti-wash-trading model. OpenSea’s SEA token launch (Q1 2026) and 50% revenue buybacks could siphon liquidity.

What this means:
Blur’s zero-fee model for pro traders remains a differentiator, but market share depends on sustaining incentives. In July 2025, Blur briefly overtook OpenSea in volume (source), signaling volatility in leadership.

3. Macro NFT Adoption & Regulation (Bullish Catalyst)

Overview:
The NFT market is projected to grow from $62B (2024) to $711B by 2034. SEC’s May 2025 clarification that NFT royalties don’t constitute securities eased regulatory fears (source).

What this means:
Broader NFT utility (e.g., tokenized RWAs, gaming) could drive demand for Blur’s lending protocol Blend. Regulatory tailwinds may attract institutional liquidity, though Blur’s optional royalty model still faces community debates.

Conclusion

Blur’s price hinges on balancing unlock-driven sell pressure against NFT market growth and platform innovation. Traders should monitor BLUR’s 30-day SMA ($0.0346) for trend confirmation. Will Blur’s governance adapt to outflank OpenSea’s SEA token incentives?