Deep Dive
1. Brave Browser Adoption (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
Brave surpassed 101M monthly active users in November 2025, with 42M daily users. BAT powers its ad-rewards system, which processed 20B+ searches annually. On-chain BAT transfers surged 72% as adoption grew.
What this means:
Higher user engagement increases BAT’s utility as advertisers buy tokens for campaigns and users earn/hold them. The 17% price rise in 30 days aligns with Brave’s milestone, suggesting network effects could sustain demand.
2. Trading Competition & Speculation (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Biconomy’s BAT trading contest (Nov 27–Dec 7) boosted 24h volume by 200%+ to $30M. However, similar events historically cause post-deadline selloffs.
What this means:
Short-term liquidity spikes could push BAT toward $0.2896 (161.8% Fibonacci level), but the 36% drop in volume since the competition started signals fading momentum. Watch for profit-taking after Dec 7.
3. Technical Overextension (Bearish Short-Term)
Overview:
BAT’s RSI-7 sits at 54.86 (neutral), but the daily RSI hit 85.69 in late November. It faces resistance at $0.30, a level not breached since October 2025.
What this means:
The 71.87% 60-day rally risks correction if BTC dominance (58.75%) rises further. Key support lies at $0.24 (50% retracement of November’s gains).
Conclusion
BAT’s mid-term outlook hinges on Brave’s ability to convert user growth into sustained token demand, while technicals and market-wide “Fear” sentiment pose near-term risks. Will BAT’s 437K+ holder base accumulate through volatility, or will profit-taking dominate post-competition?