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<p>XRP could still face a deep corrective phase even as its broader bull structure remains intact, according to crypto analyst Egrag Crypto.</p> 
<p>He outlined what he described as a “nightmare scenario,” framing it as a stress test rather than a shift to a bearish outlook.</p> 
<p>The analysis focuses on historical cycle behavior visible on the chart, where similar structural positions preceded sharp but temporary drawdowns before the broader trend resumed.</p> 
<figure id="attachment_346986" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-346986" style="width: 100%" class="wp-caption aligncenter">
 <img decoding="async" class="size-full wp-image-346986" src="https://www.ethnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/G-sJAVzXQAAbCOZ.jpeg" alt="" width="1200" height="545">
 <figcaption id="caption-attachment-346986" class="wp-caption-text">
  Source: <a href="https://x.com/egragcrypto/status/2011711915668472260" rel="nofollow">https://x.com/egragcrypto/status/2011711915668472260</a>
 </figcaption>
</figure> 
<h3 id="historical-fractals-point-to-deeper-pullbacks">Historical Fractals Point to Deeper Pullbacks</h3> 
<p>EGRAG highlighted recurring patterns across previous XRP cycles, marked by white circles on the long-term chart. In each instance, price experienced significant retracements despite remaining within a larger bullish framework.</p> 
<p>Based on those historical analogs, the analyst noted that XRP could still see drawdowns of approximately 31% or 47%from current levels if the market follows a comparable path. Applied to today’s structure, that would place XRP in a potential downside zone between $1.40 and $1.20.</p> 
<p>He described this range as the point of “maximum fear,” emphasizing that it represents the most uncomfortable scenario for holders rather than a breakdown of the long-term trend.</p> 
<h3 id="conviction-remains-despite-the-bear-case">Conviction Remains Despite the Bear Case</h3> 
<p>While acknowledging the downside risk, EGRAG was explicit that the assessment does not reflect a bearish stance on XRP’s fundamentals or macro structure. He stated that nothing in the long-term data suggests the bull cycle has ended, characterizing the current phase as prolonged and exhausting rather than complete.</p> 
<p>According to the analysis, the bearish case exists only as a function of imposed fractals and historical behavior, not weakening network structure or deteriorating fundamentals. EGRAG stressed that negative sentiment is driven more by perception than by underlying data.</p>  
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<h3 id="strategy-if-the-worst-case-plays-out">Strategy if the Worst Case Plays Out</h3> 
<p>EGRAG also laid out how he would respond if XRP were to reach the $1.40–$1.20 zone. Rather than exiting, he said he would use such a move as an opportunity to significantly increase his position, provided he remains liquid at the time.</p> 
<p>He reiterated his belief that the broader macro trajectory still points toward double-digit XRP prices over the longer term. From his perspective, a deep pullback would represent conviction-driven accumulation rather than a signal to abandon the trend.</p> 
<p>The takeaway from the analysis is clear: while XRP may still face a sharp corrective phase consistent with past cycles, EGRAG views such a move as part of a broader bullish structure, not its conclusion.</p> 
<p>The post <a href="https://www.ethnews.com/xrp-faces-1-20-1-40-risk-zone-in-worst-case-scenario-says-egrag/">XRP Faces $1.20–$1.40 Risk Zone in Worst-Case Scenario, Says EGRAG</a> appeared first on <a href="https://www.ethnews.com">ETHNews</a>.</p>

XRP Faces $1.20–$1.40 Risk Zone in Worst-Case Scenario, Says EGRAG

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