Gemini

Bitcoin

would

<p>There’s been a lot of chatter lately about what <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/ripples-iso-20022-advantage-analyst-explains-the-long-game-for-xrp-supporters/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">would happen if Ripple’s XRP had the same kind of scarcity model as Bitcoin.</a> As you know, Bitcoin halvings cut the supply of new coins every four years, and those events have usually led to big rallies.&nbsp;</p>
<p>XRP, on the other hand, does have a burn mechanism, but it was never meant to pump the price. It’s simply there to stop spam by charging a tiny fee on each transaction and permanently destroying those tokens.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="how-much-xrp-has-been-burned-so-far">How Much XRP Has Been Burned So Far?</h2>
<p>Since the <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/ripple-xrp-price-prediction/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">XRP</a> Ledger went live back in 2012, just over 14.18 million XRP have been burned. That might sound like a lot, but compared to the 100 billion total supply, it’s basically a drop in the ocean, about 0.014%. Out of today’s circulating supply of roughly 59.48 billion, that’s only 0.023%.</p>
<p><a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/xrp-price-prediction-for-the-week/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Right now, the network burns around 2,700 XRP per day, </a>which adds up to about a million tokens a year. At that pace, it would take nearly a thousand years just to burn one billion XRP, or 1% of the supply. Clearly, the burn rate isn’t enough to create any real scarcity.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 <p>Here is <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/XRP?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#XRP</a> Price If Burns Create Digital Scarcity Like <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">#Bitcoin</a> Halving.<img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/16.0.1/72x72/1f9f5.png" alt="🧵" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/16.0.1/72x72/1f9f5.png" alt="🧵" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"><img src="https://s.w.org/images/core/emoji/16.0.1/72x72/1f9f5.png" alt="🧵" style="height: 1em; max-height: 1em;"> <a href="https://t.co/OmTLmMo5Sh" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/OmTLmMo5Sh</a></p>— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) <a href="https://twitter.com/thecryptobasic/status/1964984698154930403?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">September 8, 2025</a>
</blockquote>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="what-if-xrp-worked-like-bitcoin-s-halving">What If XRP Worked Like Bitcoin’s Halving?</h2>
<p>That’s where the fun “what if” comes in. CryptoBasic asked Google’s <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/best-ai-crypto-projects/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">AI</a>, Gemini, to imagine a scenario where XRP had something like Bitcoin’s halving.</p>
<p>At today’s price of about $2.90 and a market cap near $182 billion, Gemini said if the supply were cut in half to about 30 billion while demand stayed the same, the price could jump to around $6.12. That’s the cautious scenario, basically just doubling because of the reduced supply.</p>
<p>But halvings don’t just cut supply. In Bitcoin’s case, they’ve always created new demand and hype, often multiplying its market cap two to four times within a year.&nbsp;</p>
<p>If something similar happened with XRP, let’s say the market cap jumped 2.5x to $455 billion while the supply halved, the XRP price could hit roughly $15.30. Gemini even called that estimate “conservative” compared to Bitcoin’s post-halving rallies.</p>
<p><strong><em>Read Also: </em></strong><a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/here-are-the-real-reasons-why-worldcoin-wld-price-is-pumping/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><strong><em>Here Are The Real Reasons Why Worldcoin (WLD) Price Is Pumping</em></strong></a></p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="why-it-ll-probably-never-happen">Why It’ll Probably Never Happen</h2>
<p>As exciting as those numbers sound, Gemini made it clear this kind of system is very unlikely for XRP. Bitcoin’s scarcity comes from mining; halvings cut the reward miners get.&nbsp;</p>
<p>XRP doesn’t work like that. All 100 billion tokens were created from the start, and Ripple controls a big portion in escrow, releasing it on a predictable schedule.</p>
<p>The burn mechanism XRP already has is purely about keeping the network safe and spam-free, not about engineering price pumps. To turn it into something like a halving, developers would have to completely redesign the system, which just isn’t realistic.</p>
<p>However, if&nbsp; XRP burns worked like Bitcoin’s halvings, the price could easily double to $6 or even run up toward $15 with enough demand.&nbsp;</p>
<p>But that’s not how the system was built. <a href="https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/xrp/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">In reality, XRP’s price will continue to depend on</a> adoption, demand, and the broader market, not on forced scarcity events.</p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/heres-what-xrp-price-could-look-like-if-burns-created-bitcoin-like-scarcity/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Here’s What XRP Price Could Look Like if Burns Created Bitcoin-Like Scarcity</a> appeared first on <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CaptainAltcoin</a>.</p>

Here’s What XRP Price Could Look Like if Burns Created Bitcoin-Like Scarcity

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