Latest VeThor Token (VTHO) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Hayabusa Mainnet Upgrade (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The Hayabusa upgrade went live on December 2, 2025, ending passive VTHO generation from holding VET. Instead, VTHO is now minted only through staking, with unclaimed rewards and transaction fees burned. This deflationary mechanism reduces daily supply by eliminating idle VTHO creation.

What this means: Reduced inflation (VTHO’s 30-day price drop narrowed to -17.15% from -47.08% over 90 days) improves scarcity. The upgrade’s transition phase ended on December 9, coinciding with the 24h price rise as users finalized staking positions.

What to look out for: VTHO burn rate data post-upgrade and validator reward distribution starting December 9.

2. Staking-Driven Supply Shock (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Hayabusa requires users to stake VET via StarGate 2.0 to earn VTHO. Over 5.3 billion VTHO rewards are allocated to early participants, incentivizing staking and reducing liquid supply.

What this means: With 96.87 billion VET staked (100% of circulating supply), demand for VTHO as gas for transactions and staking rewards could outstrip new supply. The 24h trading volume surged 9.11% to $2.53M, reflecting urgency to accumulate.

What to look out for: Validator participation rates and APY trends in StarGate 2.0.

3. Technical Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview: VTHO’s RSI-7 (57.21) signals bullish momentum, while MACD shows a positive crossover. However, the price ($0.000997) remains below the 30-day SMA ($0.001021), indicating overhead resistance.

What this means: Traders may be pricing in reduced inflation, but sustained gains require breaking the $0.00102 resistance. The 24h rally aligns with a bounce from the Fibonacci 78.6% retracement level ($0.000988).

What to look out for: A close above $0.00102 to confirm a bullish reversal.

Conclusion

VTHO’s 24h gain stems from Hayabusa’s deflationary shift and staking incentives, compounded by technical buying. While bullish, the token faces resistance near $0.00102 and remains vulnerable to profit-taking after the upgrade’s initial hype.

Key watch: Will validator activity and VTHO burns post-December 9 sustain buying pressure?

Deep Dive

1. Tokenomics Shift Post-Hayabusa (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The Hayabusa upgrade (activated Dec 2) ended passive VTHO generation for VET holders, tying rewards exclusively to staking via Validators. This disrupted the previous model where holding VET automatically generated VTHO (VeChain).

What this means: The transition (until Dec 9) has created uncertainty, as users must now delegate assets to Validators to earn rewards. Reduced passive income appeal may have triggered short-term selling from holders adjusting to the new mechanics.

What to look out for: Validator participation rates and staking inflows post-Dec 9 could dictate whether supply dynamics stabilize.

2. Technical Bearish Signals

Overview: VTHO trades at $0.000945, below its 7-day SMA ($0.000960) and 30-day SMA ($0.001035). The RSI-14 (36.16) suggests oversold conditions but hasn’t triggered a reversal.

What this means: Persistent trading below moving averages indicates weak buying momentum. The MACD histogram (+0.000000688) shows minimal bullish divergence, failing to offset the broader downtrend (30-day price drop: -20.9%).

3. Altcoin Sentiment Headwinds

Overview: Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.7%, with the Altcoin Season Index at 19/100 ("Bitcoin Season"). The crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 24 ("Extreme Fear"), favoring risk-off assets.

What this means: Capital rotation into Bitcoin and stablecoins has pressured smaller altcoins like VTHO, compounded by low turnover (2.66% of market cap traded daily).

Conclusion

VTHO’s muted 24h performance reflects structural uncertainty from its tokenomics overhaul, technical bearishness, and a risk-averse market favoring Bitcoin. Key watch: Can staking participation post-Dec 9 offset selling pressure from legacy VET holders? Monitor Validator onboarding and VTHO burn rates for directional cues.