Latest Quant (QNT) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
16 January 2026 03:32PM (UTC+0)

Why is QNT’s price down today? (16/01/2026)

TLDR

Quant (QNT) fell 3.27% over the past 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.11%). Key drivers include bearish technical patterns, reduced derivatives activity, and profit-taking after recent developments.

  1. Bearish Pennant Breakout – Traders reacted to a bearish technical pattern signaling further downside.

  2. Resistance at Key Levels – Failed to breach $76.75 resistance, triggering sell-offs.

  3. Derivatives Cooling – Open interest and volume dropped 14% and 12.5%, reflecting reduced speculation.


Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Overview: QNT broke below a bearish pennant pattern on the 12H chart (KlondikeAI), with traders targeting $59.15. It’s trading below all major moving averages (7-day SMA: $74.42; 200-day SMA: $94.6), signaling weak momentum.

What this means: The pennant breakdown suggests algorithmic traders and short-term holders are exiting positions. RSI (44.88) shows neutral-to-oversold conditions, but weak buying pressure has kept prices near $72.90.

What to watch: A daily close above $76.95 (bullish invalidation level) could reverse sentiment.


2. Derivatives Market Reset (Neutral Impact)

Overview: Open interest fell 14% and trading volume dropped 12.5% since December 25, 2025, per derivatives data. Long/short ratios are balanced, and funding rates remain neutral.

What this means: Reduced leverage and position unwinding indicate a market reset. While this limits downside volatility, it also reflects low conviction for a rebound.


3. Profit-Taking Post-Treasury Distribution (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Quant began distributing tokens from its Treasury Reserve to holders/stakers on January 6, 2026 (D3fiLynx).

What this means: Some recipients likely sold allocations into the $72–$74 range, adding localized selling pressure. This aligns with QNT’s -12.97% 90d decline, suggesting ongoing redistribution.


Conclusion

QNT’s drop stems from technical triggers, derivatives cooling, and token distribution impacts. While the project’s enterprise partnerships (e.g., ECB digital euro pilot) provide long-term value, short-term traders are capitalizing on bearish setups.

Key watch: Can QNT hold the $70–$72 demand zone? A breakdown could test $67.4 (January 2026 swing low), while a rebound above $76.95 may signal trend reversal.

Why is QNT’s price up today? (15/01/2026)

TLDR

Quant (QNT) rose 1.67% over the last 24h, slightly outpacing the broader crypto market's 1.49% gain. This aligns with its 2.48% weekly uptrend but contrasts with its 9.56% 60-day decline. Here are the main factors:

  1. Technical Rebound – Price stabilized above $70 support and broke above pivot point ($75.22).

  2. Supply Squeeze Signals – Low exchange liquidity (3.69M QNT) hints at reduced selling pressure.

  3. Japan RTGS Hype – Social buzz linked QNT to Japan's real-time settlement system upgrades.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakout (Bullish Impact)

Overview: QNT rebounded from the key $70–$72 support zone, breaking above the daily pivot point of $75.22. The MACD histogram turned positive (+0.20), signaling improving momentum.
What this means: This suggests short-term bullish control, as reclaiming the pivot point often attracts momentum traders. However, RSI (46–47) remains neutral, indicating room for growth but no overbought pressure yet.

2. Supply/Demand Shift (Bullish Impact)

Overview: On-chain data shows just 3.69M QNT on exchanges – only 30.5% of its circulating supply. The "net circulating supply" (excluding exchanges) is 1.64M tokens.
What this means: Low exchange liquidity reduces immediate sell-side pressure. If demand rises, limited available tokens could amplify price moves. This aligns with whale accumulation patterns noted in December 2025.

3. Japan RTGS Speculation (Bullish Catalyst)

Overview: Social media buzz on January 14, 2026, linked QNT to Japan’s Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) renewal, though no official partnership was confirmed.
What this means: Quant’s enterprise blockchain solutions (like Overledger) fit naturally with financial infrastructure upgrades. While unverified, the narrative boosted sentiment among traders anticipating institutional adoption.

Conclusion

QNT’s gains reflect technical resilience and speculative interest in its real-world utility, amplified by tight exchange supply. While bullish, the move lacks major fundamental catalysts and remains vulnerable to broader market sentiment.
Key watch: Confirm whether Japan’s RTGS upgrade involves Quant – or if profit-taking resumes near $78.5 resistance.

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.