Latest Flow (FLOW) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Security Concerns (Bearish Impact)

Overview: FLOW faced renewed scrutiny following a January 18 report highlighting that 80% of hacked projects like Flow struggle to recover. The report cited Flow's $3.9M December 2025 exploit where attackers minted 150M counterfeit tokens.
What this means: Lingering security fears erode investor confidence, directly impacting demand. Historical data shows hacked assets underperform for months post-incident due to trust deficits.

2. Regulatory Pressure (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Major South Korean exchanges (Upbit, Bithumb, Coinone) extended FLOW’s "investment warning" status on January 14 under DAXA review, triggering trading restrictions.
What this means: Regulatory uncertainty limits liquidity and institutional participation. South Korea represents ~15% of FLOW’s historical volume, amplifying sell pressure during reviews.

3. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

Overview: FLOW trades at $0.0926, below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.096, 30-day SMA: $0.118). RSI at 32.83 signals oversold conditions but no reversal confirmation.
What this means: Downward momentum persists despite oversold levels. Watch the $0.085 support – a break could accelerate declines.

Conclusion

FLOW’s decline reflects a trifecta of unresolved security risks, regulatory headwinds, and persistent technical weakness. While oversold conditions might invite short-term bounces, sustainable recovery requires resolving security governance and regulatory clarity.
Key watch: Will DAXA lift FLOW’s investment warning by mid-February, or escalate to delisting?

Deep Dive

1. Security Remediation Progress (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Flow’s recovery plan to destroy 150 million counterfeit tokens (minted in a Dec 27, 2025, $3.9M exploit) advanced, with a scheduled burn on January 30. Exchanges like Huobi HTX froze illicit assets, while the network avoided a full rollback.

What this means:
The containment of counterfeit supply (98.7% isolated) eased inflation fears. However, criticism of unilateral asset seizures by Flow’s team (e.g., Huobi HTX disputes) highlights governance risks.

Key watch:
Post-burn supply metrics and exchange relisting decisions (e.g., Upbit’s “caution” status).

2. Technical Oversold Bounce (Bullish Short-Term)

Overview:
FLOW’s RSI14 hit 34.59 (near oversold territory) on Jan 16, coinciding with a bounce from the 200-day EMA resistance at $0.2997.

What this means:
Traders interpreted the RSI dip and Fibonacci retracement level at $0.099 (78.6%) as a buying signal, though MACD remains negative (-0.018).

Key watch:
A close above the 7-day SMA ($0.0968) could signal further momentum.

3. Regulatory Risk Stabilization (Neutral)

Overview:
South Korean exchanges (Upbit, Bithumb, Coinone) extended FLOW’s “investment warning” status on Jan 14 but stopped short of delisting, pending DAXA review.

What this means:
The decision reduced immediate delisting fears but kept trading restrictions (e.g., disclosures, volume caps) in place. FLOW’s 24h KRW volume fell 24% post-announcement.

Conclusion

FLOW’s 24h rise reflects cautious optimism around supply controls and technical factors, though structural risks (governance disputes, NFT market slump) persist. Key watch: Can FLOW hold $0.096 support ahead of the Jan 30 token burn?