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<p>EUR/USD remains under pressure after a prolonged decline from the 1.16-1.17 region, and TradingView analyst Forex_Profit_SMC-FVG believes the pair could still have more downside ahead.</p>
<p>His daily chart shows EUR/USD near 1.124, with the broader structure defined by lower highs, lower lows and repeated failures to reclaim former support. The key bearish sequence in his analysis is straightforward: rejection from premium pricing, a shift in order flow, loss of internal support and then continued movement toward sell-side liquidity.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="why-the-chart-still-favors-sellers">Why the Chart Still Favors Sellers</h2>
<p>The analyst identifies 1.16178-1.17000 as the area where the latest recovery failed. Price reached that zone, produced rejection wicks and then turned lower.</p>
<p>From there, EUR/USD lost several fair-value-gap areas before breaking below the 1.14951 internal structure pivot. The next important level was 1.13224, and price has now moved below that barrier as well.</p>
<p>That leaves the marked sell-side liquidity target near 1.10857 as the deeper bearish objective.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image aligncenter size-large"><img width="1024" height="432" src="https://captainaltcoin.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/image-254-1024x432.png" alt="">
 <figcaption><strong>Source: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/wpjYBPe5-EURUSD-1D-Bulilsh-Market-Structure-Buy-Side-Liquidity-Analysis/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">tradingview.com</a></strong>
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<p>The chart also shows a descending order-flow boundary stretching across previous highs. As long as EUR/USD remains underneath that line and continues forming lower highs, his bearish thesis stays intact.</p>
<p>The recovery path is different. A move back above 1.13224 could interrupt the decline, but 1.14951 would need to be reclaimed before the daily structure starts looking materially healthier.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="fair-value-gaps-and-liquidity-give-the-setup-more-depth">Fair Value Gaps and Liquidity Give the Setup More Depth</h2>
<p>The analyst’s thesis is not based only on a falling trendline.</p>
<p>His chart maps several fair value gaps, order blocks and liquidity pools created during earlier price dislocations. These zones help explain why EUR/USD has reacted repeatedly around specific areas instead of moving lower in a straight line.</p>
<p>The sequence started with a sell-side liquidity sweep, followed by a temporary bullish recovery that carried EUR/USD back toward the 1.16-1.17 premium region. That move failed to produce a sustainable higher high, which became an important clue that buyers had not regained control.</p>
<p>After the rejection, price broke through internal support and moved below multiple FVG zones. In his framework, those breaks strengthen the bearish order-flow argument because areas that previously attracted buyers stopped holding.</p>
<p>The latest candles are now compressing close to the bottom of the structure.</p>
<p>That compression can produce a short-term bounce, but the analyst does not treat it as bullish confirmation. For that to happen, EUR/USD would need to reclaim the nearby bearish continuation barrier first, then recover 1.13224 and eventually 1.14951.</p>
<p>Until then, the 1.10857 liquidity pool remains the downside area his chart is pointing toward.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="macro-conditions-still-matter-for-eur-usd">Macro Conditions Still Matter for EUR/USD</h2>
<p>The fundamental backdrop also explains why the pair has struggled.</p>
<p>Hotter U.S. inflation recently pushed the dollar to an 18-month high as traders reconsidered the possibility of additional Federal Reserve tightening. September U.S. CPI rose 3.7% year over year, above expectations, strengthening the dollar against the euro.</p>
<p>Europe faces<a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/european-stocks-gain-schneider-lifts-sentiment-inflation-data-awaited-2026-10-16/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> its own inflation problem</a>. Euro-area inflation remained elevated at 3.8% in September, and the IMF expects at least one more 25-basis-point ECB increase this year. Higher ECB rates can support the euro, but tighter financial conditions and weaker growth can offset that effect.</p>
<p>For the short term, 1.13224 is the first recovery level to monitor. Staying below it leaves 1.10857 in play. A stronger move above 1.14951 would be the first real sign that the bearish sequence is beginning to break down.</p>
<p>For more financial news and price predictions,&nbsp;<a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">click here</a>.</p>
<p><em><strong>Subscribe to <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@Captain-Altcoin" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">our YouTube channel</a> for daily crypto updates, market insights, and expert analysis.</strong></em></p>
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<p>The post <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com/eur-usd-price-prediction-analyst-warns-bearish-structure-could-push-euro-toward-1-11/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">EUR/USD Price Prediction: Analyst Warns Bearish Structure Could Push Euro Toward $1.11</a> appeared first on <a href="https://captainaltcoin.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CaptainAltcoin</a>.</p>

EUR/USD Price Prediction: Analyst Warns Bearish Structure Could Push Euro Toward $1.11

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