Greed

Rally

Bitcoin

would

<p>While the Bitcoin market remains under pressure, an analyst suggests that the bottom may have been reached. Contrary to the climate of distrust, he envisions a rebound towards 100,000-110,000 dollars, reigniting speculation about a trend reversal. This scenario, based on precise technical indicators, contrasts with the prevailing sluggishness and captures investors’ attention.</p>
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  <h2 class="in-brief--title" id="in-brief">In Brief</h2>
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   <li>Bitcoin could have reached a local bottom after a phase of heavy capitulation in the market.</li>
   <li>The analyst Mister Crypto identifies a weekly RSI close to 30, a historical signal of rebound.</li>
   <li>Speculation about a rate cut and the end of monetary tightening strengthens this scenario.</li>
   <li>Despite these positive signals, the market remains generally in a downward trend according to analysts.</li>
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<h2 id="the-signs-of-a-technical-bottom">The signs of a technical bottom</h2>
<p>While <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/strategy-unveils-a-new-anti-panic-weapon-against-the-bitcoin-crisis/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Strategy releases an anti-panic indicator that changes everything after the crash of the flagship asset</a>, the trader Mister Crypto suggests in a recent analysis that Bitcoin may have formed a short-term bottom, after an intense selling phase he calls <em>“capitulation”</em>.</p>
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<p>He primarily relies on the technical indicator RSI (Relative Strength Index), observed on weekly data. <em>“We have hit the bottom for Bitcoin, this is where it’s at. We touched the level 30. Boom”</em>, <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-short-term-bottom-110k-relief-rally-analyst" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">he states</a>.</p>
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<p>Historically, this level is often associated with temporary trend reversals, especially during prolonged bear market phases. According to him, this reading of the RSI corresponds to a stabilization of the <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/crypto-markets/bitcoin-btc-en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC price</a> structure, even though the analyst does not speak of the start of a bull run at this stage.</p>
<p>Beyond the RSI, Mister Crypto identifies several technical and behavioral factors that strengthen the hypothesis of a short-term technical rebound :</p>
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 <li>Whales may have started opening long positions, despite an environment of extreme fear ;</li>
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 <li>The market sentiment, although negative, creates an environment typical of temporary reversals, as observed in previous cycles ;</li>
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 <li>Behavioral analysis suggests the beginning of a strategic repositioning by some major players, who would take advantage of prices considered attractive in the short term.</li>
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<p>For Mister Crypto, this convergence of technical signals and market behavior creates a setup conducive to a temporary but potentially significant rebound, without necessarily validating the definitive end of the bear market.</p>
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<h2 id="h-a-potential-rebound-under-macroeconomic-tension">A potential rebound under macroeconomic tension</h2>
<p>Beyond technical indicators, Mister Crypto mentions other elements that, in his view, could support a temporary rebound phase.</p>
<p>He notably mentions the current distance between the asset price and its 50-week moving average, positioned around 102,000 dollars. He recalls that <em>“in previous cycles, BTC regularly bounced toward this average after breaking it”</em>, suggesting a dynamic of return to balance before any new momentum or major correction.</p>
<p>On the macroeconomic front, several factors feed this relief rally hypothesis. The analyst anticipates a potential end to quantitative tightening as well as a possible rate cut at an upcoming monetary authority meeting, two factors which, if realized, could ease financial conditions and reinvigorate risk assets such as Bitcoin.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index, which had stagnated at extreme fear for 18 days, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/after-18-days-of-anxiety-the-crypto-market-sends-a-first-reassuring-signal/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">has just risen to 28</a>, a still fragile level, but one that reflects a relative improvement in market sentiment.</p>
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<p>Interpretation of this context divides analysts. While Mister Crypto envisions a rebound between 100,000 and 110,000 dollars, he tempers his statements by reminding that this movement could be transient.</p>
<p>The overall market is still bearish according to him, and a lasting upward return would require a true structural reversal of economic and monetary conditions. Meanwhile, André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitwise-expert-sees-best-risk-reward-since-covid/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">mentions</a> an asymmetric risk-return profile, comparable to that of the March 2020 crash, stating that <em>“the market is already creating an extremely pessimistic macroeconomic scenario”</em>.</p>
<p>The scenario of a rebound toward 110,000 dollars remains uncertain, but technical signals are reigniting speculation. In this context, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-shows-a-strong-negative-correlation-with-usdt-according-to-glassnode/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin shows a strong negative correlation with USDT</a>, an indicator closely watched by investors seeking a strategic entry point.</p>

Bitcoin : Analysts Warn Of A Risky Relief Rally

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