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 Bitcoin halving data will not be reflected in the market for a year or more, says Jesse Myers. 
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 Bitcoin (BTC) will only hit six figures after its 2024 block subsidy <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a>, not before, Bitcoin investor and author Jesse Myers believes. 
 In an X post on Aug. 15, Myers, who is co-founder of Bitcoin investment firm Onramp, said that the market will only “price in” the halving post factum. 
 <h2 id="markets-not-efficient-with-bitcoin-halving">Markets not "efficient" with Bitcoin halving</h2> 
 Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycles are back in focus as the next halving event looms in the first half of next year. 
 Miners will see the reward earned per block of transactions drop from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, while the corresponding drop in emission and its impact on supply and demand is getting analysts excited. 
 Four Myers, however, markets will only bear out those implications after the halving has happened. 
 “Bitcoin won't surge to $100k before the next halving,” he summarized. 
 Justification comes in the form of criticism of market intuition. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMF), which states that markets always reflect the true state of a given asset, is “wrong,” Myers claims. 
 “Instead, the market will price-in the changed reality over the 12-18 months post-halving,” he added. 
 Current analysis shows that the year before a halving event has seen similar BTC price performance on each occasion. 
 <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"> 
 Candle 4 happens to represent the year of the #BTC Halving And historically, $BTC tends to retrace early on in a new Candle 4 But after this initial retrace, BTC then recovers and rallies significantly without looking back#Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/5blKD1E8n7— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) August 8, 2023 
 </blockquote> 
 <h2 id="halving-vs-btc-price-all-very-predictable">Halving vs. BTC price: "All very predictable"</h2> 
 That position contrasts with some recent forecasts for how BTC <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="price" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/price.html">price</a> action will evolve in the coming months and beyond. 
 Related:&nbsp;Bitcoin risks 15% dip by October, but $100K is due in 2026 — Analysis 
 Some believe that a breakout is around the corner, with October currently a popular deadline for the Bitcoin bull market to return. In terms of pre-halving price predictions, $100,000 or more is not uncommon. 
 One of the latest calls for six-figure Bitcoin comes from Robert Kiyosaki, author of the popular book, “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” who this week doubled down on his BTC price prediction. 
 Historical <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="Category Analysis" href="https://thebittimes.com/analysis.html">Analysis</a> meanwhile shows that the majority of Bitcoin’s cycle gains occur post-<a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a> rather than in the run-up to one. 
 After the past three <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="halving" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/halving.html">halving</a>s, it took a maximum of 240 days for BTC/USD to hit a new all-time high, trading team Stockmoney Lizards revealed this month. 
 “It is all very predictable. New all time high will occur shortly after Halving in 2024. Accumulation phase,” it told X subscribers. 
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 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2023-08/738349e5-c290-41f1-bafb-5a75e20185f8.png"> 
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;"> BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Stockmoney Lizards/X 
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 Magazine: Deposit risk: What do crypto exchanges really do with your money? 
 This article does not contain <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="investment" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/investment.html">investment</a> advice or recommendations. Every <a rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" title="investment" href="https://thebittimes.com/tag/investment.html">investment</a> and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. 
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BTC price won't hit $100K before 2024 halving — Bitcoin investment exec

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