Siacoin (SC) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Network Upgrade Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
The Sia network completed its V2 “Final Cut” hard fork on December 1, 2025, introducing Utreexo (faster node syncing) and RHP4 (enhanced storage contracts). However, exchanges like Kraken and CoinW required wallet upgrades to maintain SC support, creating temporary friction.

What this means:
Successful adoption could boost network efficiency and developer activity, historically correlating with 10-15% price rallies post-major upgrades (Sia Foundation). Conversely, delayed exchange compliance risks liquidity shocks – OKX’s September 2025 delisting preceded a 22% SC price drop within a week.

2. Liquidity Erosion Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
OKX SG delisted SC in September 2025, citing failure to meet “listing criteria.” SC’s 24h turnover ratio (0.0607) already signals thin markets, and further delistings could exacerbate volatility.

What this means:
SC’s 18.67% 24h volume surge (to $5.5M) remains below 2025’s peak of $120M. Losing tier-1 exchange support reduces institutional access, potentially accelerating the -45% YTD downtrend. Monitoring Binance/Kraken’s SC wallet upgrade compliance is critical.

3. Storage Sector Competition (Bearish Bias)

Overview:
Decentralized storage rivals like Filecoin (+34% YTD) are gaining traction in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization partnerships, while SC’s 30-day active addresses stagnate near 12K.

What this means:
SC’s -79% annual return underperforms the broader crypto market (-12.14%). Without enterprise adoption catalysts akin to Filecoin’s BMW deal or Storj’s AWS integration, SC risks becoming a “legacy” protocol despite its technical merits.

Conclusion

Siacoin’s future hinges on converting its V2 technical edge into measurable storage adoption while preventing further exchange attrition. The 200-day EMA ($0.0027395) remains a key resistance level to watch – a sustained break above could signal trend reversal, while failure risks retesting the 2025 low of $0.0015141. Will Sia’s infrastructure improvements outpace the altcoin liquidity crunch?