Scroll (SCR) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Ecosystem Rebuild and Governance Redesign (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Scroll is actively working to grow its ecosystem, announcing new integrations like the Rainbow wallet and a community bridge UI proposal. However, its governance faces uncertainty. The DAO paused operations in September 2025 for a redesign following leadership resignations, with co-founder Haichen Shen stating governance is being "redesigned" (The Block). This creates a gap between technical progress and community trust. What this means: Successful onboarding of new projects and a clear, decentralized governance restart could increase network utility and demand for SCR. Conversely, prolonged centralization or unclear direction may erode investor confidence, suppressing price.

2. Competitive Pressures and Network Economics (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Scroll's network health is under pressure. Its top fee-generating dApp, ether.fi Cash, migrated to OP Mainnet in February 2026, taking ~70,000 active cards and significant fee revenue (The Defiant). Data from November 2025 showed Scroll occasionally posting negative weekly chain revenue, highlighting weak economic activity compared to rivals like Arbitrum (Bring Me Coins). What this means: The loss of a major application directly reduces transaction fee demand for SCR. Persistent negative revenue signals poor product-market fit, which could lead to further capital outflows and continued price depreciation unless new, sustainable use cases emerge.

3. Speculative Sentiment Around Future Airdrops (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Market narratives consistently list Scroll as having an upcoming airdrop, as noted in community trackers as recently as January 2026 (CorX2025). This speculation drives user engagement for potential eligibility. What this means: A confirmed, well-structured airdrop could trigger a short-term price surge by rewarding existing users and attracting new capital. However, this catalyst is unconfirmed. If expectations fade without materializing, the speculative premium could vanish, removing a key support for the current price.

Conclusion

Scroll's immediate future hinges on replacing lost activity and clarifying its governance, with downside risks currently outweighing catalysts. The token's deeply oversold condition (RSI 14 at 31.73) suggests much negative news is priced in, but a sustainable reversal requires demonstrable ecosystem growth, not just speculation.
Will the next partnership announcement finally move the needle on network revenue?