What could affect SCR’s future price?

Question

Accepted Answer

## TLDR
Scroll faces near-term headwinds from governance uncertainty and airdrop selling pressure, but its alignment with Ethereum's ZK scaling roadmap offers a long-term tailwind.

1. **Future Airdrops & Selling Pressure** – 15% of SCR's supply is earmarked for community airdrops, which could create sustained sell pressure as recipients claim and distribute tokens.
2. **DAO Governance Redesign** – The paused and redesigned governance model introduces centralization risks and near-term uncertainty, potentially dampening investor confidence.
3. **Ethereum's ZK Scaling & Competition** – Scroll's success is tied to Ethereum's 2026 ZK-EVM rollout and its ability to capture activity in a crowded Layer-2 market led by Base and Arbitrum.

## Deep Dive
### 1. Future Airdrops & Token Distribution (Bearish Impact)
**Overview:** Scroll has allocated 15% of the total SCR supply to community-focused airdrops, with the first major distribution following an October 2024 snapshot. Historical patterns show that post-airdrop sell-offs are common, as seen with other L2s like ZKsync. With only 19% of the 1 billion total supply currently circulating, future distributions could act as a persistent overhang on the price.

**What this means:** Each new airdrop event is likely to increase the liquid supply, potentially outpacing organic demand and leading to downward price pressure. The token's 90% decline from its all-time high already reflects significant distribution, but the remaining unlocked community supply remains a key risk.

### 2. DAO Governance Restructuring (Mixed Impact)
**Overview:** Scroll DAO paused governance in September 2025 after leadership resignations, citing a redesign to improve efficiency. The new structure, targeted for the January 2026 voting cycle, will have the DAO report to the Scroll Foundation, which retains veto power. This shift has raised centralization concerns.

**What this means:** In the short term, the uncertainty can deter governance-focused investors and has already prompted protocols like Aave to defensively adjust risk parameters on Scroll. Long-term, a more efficient governance model could aid decisive action and growth, but the transition risk is palpable.

### 3. Ethereum's ZK Evolution & L2 Competition (Bullish Impact)
**Overview:** Ethereum's foundational shift to ZK-EVM validation, starting in 2026, is a major tailwind for zkRollups like Scroll. However, Scroll's on-chain revenue is minimal ($600 daily on January 14) and lags far behind leaders like Base ($147k), highlighting intense competition for users and fees.

**What this means:** Scroll's technical alignment with Ethereum's roadmap is a structural advantage that could attract developers and capital over the next 1-2 years. For the price to benefit, Scroll must translate this technical edge into measurable growth in daily active users and total value locked, moving from the "rising stars" cohort to a top-tier L2.

## Conclusion
Scroll's price is caught between near-term distribution risks and a promising long-term technical thesis. A holder must weigh the likelihood of successful governance reform and user adoption against ongoing sell pressure.

Will Scroll's ecosystem growth outpace its token supply inflation over the next quarter?

Scroll (SCR) Price Prediction

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Future Airdrops & Token Distribution (Bearish Impact)

2. DAO Governance Restructuring (Mixed Impact)

3. Ethereum's ZK Evolution & L2 Competition (Bullish Impact)

Conclusion

Explore Similar Coins

LayerZero

Altlayer

Starknet

EigenCloud

Wormhole

ZKsync