Scroll (SCR) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Governance Restructuring & Unlock Schedule (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Scroll's decentralized governance hit a major pause in September 2025 following leadership resignations, with the DAO undergoing a redesign to report to the Scroll Foundation (The Block). This creates near-term uncertainty for community-led initiatives. Furthermore, the token is subject to upcoming unlocks, with one noted for the fourth week of October 2025 (Yahoo Finance), which could introduce sell pressure if demand doesn't absorb the new supply.

What this means: The governance pause is a bearish near-term sentiment driver, eroding confidence in progressive decentralization. However, a successful redesign could streamline operations, a bullish structural development. The scheduled unlocks are a concrete bearish catalyst for the weeks they occur, often preceding price volatility as new liquid supply hits the market.

2. L2 Market Competition & Fee Economics (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Scroll struggles to monetize its network effectively. Data from January 2026 showed it earned just ~$600 in daily fees, compared to Base's $147,000, and has even posted negative weekly revenue (Bring Me Coins). This indicates low current usage and intense competition from rivals with stronger ecosystems and user bases.

What this means: Weak fee generation is a fundamental bearish signal, reflecting low demand for block space and questioning the network's long-term economic sustainability. Until Scroll can demonstrate a significant use-case advantage or growth in daily active users, it may continue to underperform versus leading L2s, applying persistent downward pressure on its valuation.

3. Ecosystem Growth & Ethereum Scaling Narrative (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Positive developments include expansion in Southeast Asia to boost DeFi engagement (Kanalcoin) and integration by major wallets like Rainbow (Rainbow). These efforts aim to increase utility and accessibility. Furthermore, Scroll is positioned within the bullish 2026 narrative of Ethereum's exponential scaling via ZK-proofs, which could lift all credible zkEVM projects (Cointelegraph).

What this means: Strategic regional growth and improved user onboarding are bullish adoption drivers that could increase network activity and SCR utility over the medium term. Being a native zkEVM aligns Scroll with a major, funded technological upgrade for Ethereum, potentially attracting speculative capital and improving its competitive positioning in the long run.

Conclusion

Scroll's path is bifurcated: near-term price faces headwinds from governance flux and token unlocks, while long-term value hinges on capturing meaningful market share during Ethereum's scaling evolution. A holder must weigh operational uncertainty against speculative protocol potential.

Will Scroll's ecosystem development outpace its competitive disadvantages and unlock sell pressure?