Scroll (SCR) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Airdrop Claim Deadlines & Future Distributions (Bearish)

Overview:
15% of SCR’s total supply (150M tokens) is earmarked for community airdrops. The current claim window closes on January 20, 2025, after which unclaimed tokens roll into future distributions. However, 85M SCR (~45% of circulating supply) remains claimable as of December 2025.

What this means:
Near-term sell pressure could intensify if recipients liquidate unlocked tokens, compounded by the token’s -74% decline since its debut. However, planned future airdrops might incentivize user retention if tied to governance participation (Scroll Airdrop FAQ).

2. DAO Governance Restructuring (Mixed)

Overview:
Scroll’s DAO paused operations in September 2025 after key leader resignations, with plans to shift toward a foundation-led model. This followed disputes over decentralization speed and proposal execution delays (The Block).

What this means:
Centralization risks could alienate governance-focused holders, but streamlined decision-making might accelerate ecosystem funding. Watch for Q1 2026 updates on council recruitment and treasury management reforms.

3. Layer 2 Economics & Adoption (Bearish)

Overview:
Scroll’s weekly revenue averaged -$1.3K in November 2025, lagging behind Arbitrum ($2.2M) and Optimism ($260K). Its Southeast Asia expansion targets DeFi growth, but TVL remains at $286M vs Arbitrum’s $2.6B (BringMeCoins).

What this means:
Negative revenue highlights adoption challenges in a crowded L2 market. Success hinges on Scroll-specific DeFi innovations like Pencils Protocol’s RWA vaults and Scroll-native bridge integrations.

Conclusion

Scroll’s price faces near-term headwinds from airdrop unlocks and governance instability, but its zkEVM tech and Southeast Asia expansion offer recovery potential if user activity rebounds. Can Scroll’s upcoming Community Council (2026) balance decentralization with operational efficiency to reignite developer momentum? Monitor SCR’s burn rate and TVL trends post-January claim deadline.