Latest Scroll (SCR) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Airdrop Catalysts (Bullish Impact)

Overview: SCR was highlighted in multiple reports (MEXC News) as a top 2025 airdrop candidate, rewarding testnet participants and developers ahead of its mainnet expansion. Airdrop expectations typically drive speculative accumulation.
What this means: Anticipation of free token distributions incentivizes holding and strategic buying, tightening supply. With 2025 airdrop value projected to hit $20B (+33% YoY), SCR’s inclusion positions it as a narrative beneficiary.
What to look out for: Confirmation of airdrop eligibility criteria and snapshot dates.

2. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview: SCR’s MACD histogram turned positive (+0.0023) for the first time since November, signaling bullish momentum. The 7-day RSI (38.34) exited oversold territory, while the price ($0.0926) reclaimed its 7-day SMA ($0.0901).
What this means: Traders may interpret this as a short-term reversal signal, though the 30-day EMA ($0.1109) looms as resistance. Volume surged 54.9% to $5.4M, confirming buyer interest but also reflecting volatility risk.

Conclusion

SCR’s rebound aligns with airdrop-driven speculation and technical signals, though its -44% monthly drop underscores lingering skepticism. Key watch: Can SCR hold above the $0.09 support zone, or will profit-taking reverse gains post-Fear & Greed Index lows?

Deep Dive

1. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

Overview: SCR trades at $0.088, below its 7-day SMA ($0.0898) and 30-day SMA ($0.1123). While the RSI (33–38) suggests oversold conditions, the MACD histogram (+0.00186) shows weak bullish momentum failing to reverse the downtrend.

What this means: Traders see limited upside potential below key resistance levels ($0.104 Fibonacci level). The 30-day price drop of 43% has created a “sell the bounce” mentality, amplified by low liquidity (turnover ratio: 0.206).

2. Governance Turmoil (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Scroll’s DAO paused governance in September 2025 after leadership resignations, leaving proposals like treasury management in limbo (Coindesk).

What this means: The shift toward centralization contradicts Scroll’s decentralization narrative, eroding trust. Holders face uncertainty about token utility (e.g., governance rights) and future protocol direction.

What to watch: Progress on governance redesign – delays could trigger further sell-offs.

3. Network Revenue Struggles (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Scroll generated negative weekly revenue as recently as November 2025 (Bring Me Coins), lagging behind rivals like Arbitrum ($2.2M weekly revenue).

What this means: Low fees signal weak user demand and raise questions about long-term viability. Investors may reallocate to L2s with clearer revenue paths (e.g., Base, OP Stack chains).

Conclusion

Scroll’s price reflects a mix of bearish technicals, governance doubts, and poor fundamentals. While oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce, sustained recovery requires resolving governance paralysis and demonstrating network growth.

Key watch: Can Scroll’s upcoming mainnet expansion (per MEXC) catalyze user adoption and reverse revenue trends?