Latest Grass (GRASS) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Residual Unlock Pressure (Bearish Impact)

Overview: On October 28, 2025, Grass unlocked 181 million GRASS tokens, worth over $80 million at the time, which increased the circulating supply by nearly 58% (CoinJournal). Such events historically trigger sell-offs as early investors and contributors gain liquidity, creating sustained overhead supply.

What this means: The increased circulating supply dilutes existing holdings, putting downward pressure on price as new tokens enter the market. Even though the unlock occurred months ago, its psychological impact and the potential for gradual distribution from unlocked wallets can suppress price recovery, especially in low-volume environments. This oversupply narrative is a key headwind against any bullish momentum.

What to look out for: Monitoring on-chain wallet activity from early investor addresses could signal whether distribution pressure is increasing or abating.

2. Reduced Exchange Support (Bearish Impact)

Overview: KuCoin delisted Spot Margin Trading services for GRASS on November 5–6, 2025 (KuCoin). This removed a key venue for leveraged trading, which often accounts for a significant portion of daily volume and price discovery for altcoins.

What this means: The removal of margin trading reduces market depth and can lead to lower liquidity, making the asset more susceptible to price slippage and volatility. It also signals reduced platform confidence to some traders, potentially triggering defensive selling. In a broader market downturn, the loss of such trading avenues exacerbates negative price action as speculative capital seeks more accessible alternatives.

3. Technical Downtrend Intact (Bearish Impact)

Overview: GRASS is trading well below its key moving averages, with the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $0.3147 acting as resistance. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is negative at -0.0074, confirming bearish momentum, while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.12 shows the asset is not yet in oversold territory.

What this means: The technical picture suggests the path of least resistance is down. The price being below the 30-day SMA indicates a sustained medium-term downtrend, discouraging trend-following buyers. The negative MACD shows selling momentum is accelerating, and the RSI, while low, still has room to fall before hitting the oversold threshold of 30, which might trigger a short-term bounce. Key support to watch is the recent swing low at $0.27367; a break below could open the door to further declines.

Conclusion

GRASS's modest 24-hour decline is a continuation of its longer-term downtrend, fueled by the lingering effects of a major supply unlock, reduced exchange trading support, and bearish technical momentum. For holders, this suggests caution until the market demonstrates an ability to absorb the unlocked supply and technical indicators show signs of reversal.

Key watch: Can GRASS hold above the $0.27367 support level, and will trading volume show signs of accumulation to counter the ongoing distribution?

Deep Dive

1. Whale Activity Signals Accumulation (Mixed Impact)

Overview: On January 14, 2026, GRASS appeared in whale purchase alerts (whaleooor), with two large buyers accumulating tokens despite the downtrend. Historically, sustained whale buying often precedes short-term rebounds.

What this means: While whale activity doesn’t guarantee reversal, it suggests some investors view current prices (~$0.285) as undervalued. GRASS remains 85% below its all-time high, creating a high-risk/high-reward scenario.

What to look out for: Continued on-chain accumulation patterns and exchange inflow/outflow ratios.

2. Airdrop Incentives & Network Growth (Bullish Catalyst)

Overview: Grass Season 2 introduces "Network Points" – daily rewards for active bandwidth sharing (WINGFO). This follows a $10M funding round in October 2025 to expand AI data infrastructure.

What this means: The program could boost user engagement, directly tying network growth to token demand. Past airdrop seasons (e.g., Season 1 in 2024) correlated with 500% price surges.

What to look out for: Participation metrics in the Grass dashboard and token unlock schedules (18% of supply unlocked Oct 2025).

3. Technicals Hint at Oversold Conditions (Neutral)

Overview: GRASS trades below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.304), but the 14-day RSI (39.79) approaches levels that preceded rallies in May and December 2025. The MACD histogram (-0.0071) shows slowing bearish momentum.

What this means: While not a definitive reversal signal, the setup mirrors previous consolidation phases before sharp moves. A close above $0.295 (23.6% Fib level) could trigger short-covering.

Conclusion

GRASS’ minor 24h dip masks underlying volatility drivers: whale bets on a turnaround, airdrop-driven network activity, and technicals flirting with historical buy zones. While broader crypto sentiment remains "Fear" (CMC Index: 34/100), GRASS’ AI/DePIN use case continues attracting infrastructure-focused investors.

Key watch: Can GRASS hold the $0.273–$0.285 support zone ahead of Season 2’s full rollout? Monitor Grass Foundation’s Q1 2026 roadmap updates for scalability milestones.