Definitive (EDGE) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlocks & Vesting Schedule (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
41.5% of EDGE’s total supply (team: 26.9%, investors: 14.64%) remains locked until 2027, with linear vesting starting after 12-month cliffs. Current circulating supply is just 20.3% (203M of 1B tokens).

What this means:
Historical precedents (e.g., Altcoin unlocks) show tokens often dip 15-30% near major vesting events. EDGE’s $13.8M investor tranche unlocking in mid-2026 could pressure prices if holders exit.

2. Exchange Growth & Product Utility (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Definitive added EDGE trading to Revolut (Aug 2025) and ranked among top Base tokens by volume. Platform features like gasless cross-chain swaps and TWAP orders aim to attract pro traders.

What this means:
Real usage drives token burns (via fee discounts) and staking demand. The 108% 24h volume surge (to $2.48M) suggests rising activity, though turnover remains thin at 7.45% of market cap.

3. Supply Centralization Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Two wallets hold 80% of EDGE’s supply (Gate analysis), historically correlating with high volatility. The token remains 81% below its Aug 2025 ATH of $0.955.

What this means:
Concentrated holdings increase vulnerability to coordinated sell-offs. RSI (40.35) and MACD (0.004 bullish crossover) hint at technical rebound potential, but macro fear (CMC Fear Index: 30) limits upside.

Conclusion

EDGE’s price will hinge on balancing vesting sell-pressure against platform adoption milestones. Short-term, watch the $0.1679 Fibonacci resistance – a break could signal momentum toward $0.194. Long-term, monitor whether Definitive’s TVL growth outpaces unlocks. Can EDGE’s utility outmuscle its whale-driven volatility?