Gram (prev. Toncoin)

Base

Long

Resistance

A quiet Tuesday on the charts just turned into a stress test for Gram holders. Something in the wider market cracked, and the token formerly known as Toncoin got dragged along for the ride. Whether this is a shakeout before another leg up or the start of a rougher stretch depends on one level nobody's ignoring right now.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-is-this-gramdip-a-buying-window-or-a-warning-sign-span-span">Is This $GRAM&nbsp;Dip a Buying Window or a Warning Sign?</h2>
Gram <a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/price-prediction" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">price prediction</a>, August 2026: Traders keep circling back to one question: Does this pullback break anything, or is it just the market catching its breath? Prices slid fast, longs got squeezed, and the mood shifted overnight.
Here's the thing: a drop like this doesn't happen in a vacuum. And it rarely tells the whole story on its own.
So what's actually behind it? Let's look at the chart, the wallets, and the macro backdrop together.
<h3 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-key-takeaways-span-span">Key Takeaways</h3>
<ul>
 <li>Gram (prev. Toncoin) trades near $1.45, down 3.55% over 24 hours, per<a href="https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/gram/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CoinMarketCap's Gram page</a>.</li>
 <li>Weekly close reads -4.41%, with price at $1.452 against a 50-week EMA of $1.968.</li>
 <li>4H RSI sits at 39.16. Weekly RSI reads 44.90, still under neutral.</li>
 <li>24-hour liquidations hit $563.36K, and longs absorbed $563.26K of that. Shorts barely felt it.</li>
 <li>Market cap sits at $3.96B, down 3.53%, while 24H volume jumped 35.83% to $47.69M.</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-where-gram-stands-right-now-span-span">Where Gram Stands Right Now</h2>
Gram last changed hands around $1.45, inside a 24-hour range of $1.44 to $1.50. Volume-to-market-cap reads 1.19%, and FDV sits at $7.57B against a 5.22B total supply.
The all-time high, $8.24, was set June 15, 2024, back when the token still traded as Toncoin. The current price sits 82.34% below that peak. The all-time low, $0.3906, came September 20, 2021, and Gram trades 272.25% above that floor.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-why-gramis-falling-today-span-span">Why $GRAM&nbsp;Is Falling Today</h2>
There's no Gram-specific bad news here. The broader crypto market fell 2.82% today, and Bitcoin dropped 2.92% alongside it, based <a href="https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/gram/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">on CoinMarketCap </a>market data.
Gram moved in lockstep, slightly underperforming that benchmark with its own 3.53% slide. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $11.6M in outflows on July 27, a sign of institutional caution ahead of the Fed decision, <a href="https://sosovalue.com/assets/etf/us-btc-spot" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">per SosoValue </a>ETF flow data.
Add rate-hike worries into the mix, and a high-beta token like Gram gets hit harder than the average move would suggest. Watch for the Fed's rate decision and commentary after July 29.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-4-hour-chart-descending-channel-holds-span-img-alt-4-hour-chart-descending-channel-holds-src-https-d3iuzwoiyg9qa8-cloudfront-net-webadmin-storage-public-commonediterimage-chsb0xjl3p5vrdoazrsfxb6ql93fowc0vchbubel-jpg-width-300-title-4-hour-chart-descending-channel-holds-span-span-span">4-Hour Chart: Descending Channel Holds<img alt="4 Hour Chart Descending Channel Holds" src="https://d3iuzwoiyg9qa8.cloudfront.net/webadmin/storage/public/commonEditerImage/cHSB0xJl3p5vrdoazRSfXb6Ql93FOwc0VchbubeL.jpg" width="300" title="4 Hour Chart Descending Channel Holds"></h2>
On the<a href="https://in.tradingview.com/chart/" style="font-size: 16px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> 4H TradingView chart</a>, Gram sits inside a descending channel that's held since early July. The 50-EMA reads $1.492, just above the price.
RSI at 39.16 leans weak but isn't oversold yet. Resistance stacks at $1.591, then $1.697, then a firmer wall at $1.842. Support holds at $1.425, backed by $1.361.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-weekly-chart-momentum-still-below-neutral-span-img-alt-weekly-chart-momentum-still-below-neutral-src-https-d3iuzwoiyg9qa8-cloudfront-net-webadmin-storage-public-commonediterimage-wepvdwdls3976w8b894b1o8x4zvriut1sl4iolha-jpg-width-300-title-weekly-chart-momentum-still-below-neutral-span-span-span">Weekly Chart: Momentum Still Below Neutral<img alt="Weekly Chart Momentum Still Below Neutral" src="https://d3iuzwoiyg9qa8.cloudfront.net/webadmin/storage/public/commonEditerImage/wEpVDwDls3976w8B894b1O8X4ZVriUT1SL4iOLHA.jpg" width="300" title="Weekly Chart Momentum Still Below Neutral"></h2>
Zoom out, and the descending channel goes back to the 2024 top. Weekly RSI reads 44.90, still under 50 even after recent bounces, a pattern also visible in our<a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/price-prediction/toncoin-price-prediction-2026-telegram-ads-revenue-sharing" style="font-size: 16px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255)" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"> Toncoin 2026 Telegram ads outlook</a>.
Resistance sits at $2.908, then $3.748, then the all-time high near $8.291. Support holds at $1.187, with a deeper floor at $0.550.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-the-long-liquidation-flush-span-span">The Long Liquidation Flush</h2>
<a href="https://www.coinglass.com/currencies/GRAM" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Coinglass data</a> shows the past 24 hours wiped out $563.36K in positions, almost entirely long. Shorts lost just $101.45.
Twelve hours in, Longs had already eaten $438.23K. That's a one-sided flush, not a two-way squeeze.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-bull-base-and-bear-scenarios-span-span">Bull, Base, and Bear Scenarios</h2>
None of this is financial advice. These are scenario ranges tied to current structure, similar to our<a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/price-prediction/bitcoin-price-prediction-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin price prediction 2026</a> framework.
Bull Case: A close above $1.55 opens up $1.70 within 7-14 days if Bitcoin stabilizes. Probability near 30%. Invalidation: close below $1.38.
Base Case: Range between $1.38 and $1.55 over 7-30 days. Probability near 45%. Invalidation: a weekly close outside either edge.
Bear Case: A break below $1.40 targets $1.30, then $1.19 within 30 days. Probability near 25%. Invalidation: volume holding above $1.50 for a week.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-forecast-table-span-span">Forecast Table</h2>
<div>
 <table>
 <colgroup>
 <col width="91">
 <col width="51">
 <col width="51">
 <col width="51">
 </colgroup>
 <tbody>
 <tr>
 <td>Timeframe</td>
 <td>Bear</td>
 <td>Base</td>
 <td>Bull</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>24H</td>
 <td>$1.42</td>
 <td>$1.45</td>
 <td>$1.50</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>7D</td>
 <td>$1.30</td>
 <td>$1.47</td>
 <td>$1.60</td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td>30D</td>
 <td>$1.19</td>
 <td>$1.50</td>
 <td>$1.90</td>
 </tr>
 </tbody>
 </table>
</div>
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-what-to-watch-next-span-span">What to Watch Next</h2>
Everything comes down to $1.40. Hold off on it through the Fed decision after July 29, and the base case stays intact.
Lose it, and the<a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/price-prediction/ethereum-price-prediction-2026" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">broader altcoin outlook</a> gets a lot shakier for Gram specifically.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-key-risks-span-span">Key Risks</h2>
Gram remains 82% below its all-time high, and any bounce should get read against that drawdown, not in isolation. Thin liquidity and macro-driven selling can both flip quickly. Check<a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/crypto-exchange-listing" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">exchange listing coverage</a> and the<a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/coin-events-calendar" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">coin events calendar</a> before acting.
<h2 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-glossary-span-span">Glossary</h2>
RSI:A 0-100 momentum gauge; above 70 is overbought, and below 30 is oversold.&nbsp;
EMA:A trend average weighting recent price more heavily.&nbsp;
Liquidation:Forced closing of a leveraged position once margin runs out.
FDV:Market cap if all future supply circulated today.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Always do your own research.

Gram Price Prediction August 2026: Can It Hold $1.40?

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