bullish

Bitcoin

when

Rare

would

<p>A unique on-chain indicator has emerged, suggesting the current <a href="https://en.coin-turk.com/btc-sees-150000-coin-outflow-as-volume-drops-25-billion/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin</a> bear market may be entering its final phase. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost spotted this indicator, which historically has signaled the approach of major recovery rallies in previous Bitcoin cycles.</p>
<h2 id="on-chain-signals-point-to-transition-phase">On-chain signals point to transition phase</h2>
<p>Despite recent selling pressure, Bitcoin has held above a critical support range, fueling optimism that the worst of the current bearish trend could soon be over. According to Darkfost, the signal appears when the cost basis for short-term holders (STH) drops below that of long-term holders (LTH) and continues at this lower level for at least three consecutive days.</p>
<p>The cost basis reflects the average price at which holders acquired their Bitcoin. Short-term holders typically refer to investors who have held their BTC for less than six months, while long-term holders have maintained their positions for over six months.</p>
<p>This scenario, says Darkfost, is rare and has often preceded the final stage of previous Bitcoin bear markets, laying the groundwork for potential bull runs that followed.</p>
<p>However, the analyst cautioned that the presence of this signal does not guarantee an immediate market reversal.</p>
<blockquote>
 <p>This indicator suggests Bitcoin might be in the last part of its bearish phase, but it does not mean a rapid shift to bullishness is certain.</p>
</blockquote>
<h2 id="investment-opportunities-for-dca-investors">Investment opportunities for DCA investors</h2>
<p>Darkfost noted that the phase where the STH cost basis sits below the LTH cost basis has generally offered a favorable opportunity for investors using dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies, as Bitcoin is typically priced lower during these moments.</p>
<p>During the recent decline, new investors continue to accumulate Bitcoin, which has resulted in the short-term holders’ acquisition price falling from $112,500 to approximately $69,000. This drop triggered the rare on-chain crossover referenced by the analyst.</p>
<p>Mini dictionary: Dollar-cost averaging (DCA), a strategy where an investor divides up the total amount to be invested across periodic purchases of an asset to reduce the impact of volatility.</p>
<p>According to Darkfost, a breakout into a new bull market may not occur until new investors begin acquiring Bitcoin at higher prices than those paid by long-term holders, which historically has signaled renewed demand.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>Group</th>
   <th>Cost Basis (Previous)</th>
   <th>Cost Basis (Current)</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Short-term holders (STH)</td>
   <td>$112,500</td>
   <td>$69,000</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Long-term holders (LTH)</td>
   <td>–</td>
   <td>–</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<h2 id="market-resilience-and-technical-outlook">Market resilience and technical outlook</h2>
<p>Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience even amidst ongoing challenges. After declining to $57,747 about three weeks ago, the price rebounded and remained above the important $60,000 support level.</p>
<p>Market stability persisted even after Strategy, a digital asset firm, sold 3,588 BTC—valued at nearly $216 million—for dividend distributions.</p>
<p>The next major resistance level is identified at $67,248. A break above this threshold would offer a strong signal that the Bitcoin bear market has likely concluded and a bullish phase may begin.</p>
<p>Currently, Bitcoin trades at $64,141, with a 24-hour trading volume of $29.31 billion and a market capitalization of $1.29 trillion. CoinMarketCap data shows the price is up 1.63% over the last day.</p>
<blockquote>
 <p>Analysts monitor whether a sustained move above $67,248 could confirm the transition from a bear to a bull market for Bitcoin.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The post <a href="https://en.coin-turk.com/rare-on-chain-signal-hints-bitcoin-bear-market-nearing-end-says-cryptoquant-analyst/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Rare on-chain signal hints Bitcoin bear market nearing end, says CryptoQuant analyst</a> appeared first on <a href="https://en.coin-turk.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">COINTURK NEWS</a>.</p>

Rare on-chain signal hints Bitcoin bear market nearing end, says CryptoQuant analyst

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