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Cryptocurrency analysts have noted that the 200-week simple moving average stands out as a significant bottoming indicator for Bitcoin in long-term market cycles.
Analyst Ali Martinez, evaluating Bitcoin’s price trend over the past 10 years, stated that periods when the price historically touched or fell below this average generally presented long-term accumulation opportunities.
According to Martinez, Bitcoin has recorded strong gains in past cycles after touching the 200-week moving average. Historical data shows that after testing this level in 2015, 2018, 2020, and 2022, Bitcoin gained 8,500%, 267%, 1,125%, and 680% respectively.
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Currently, Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average is at $63,500. Analysts believe that a price trading below $60,000 indicates that the market has entered a long-term accumulation zone.
However, Ali Martinez pointed out that the risk of a short-term pullback persists. He stated that the Bitcoin price could fall to $54,000, and in a more severe scenario, the $40,000 level could come into play. According to Martinez, the $63,500 level is being watched as a critical bull-bear divide for Bitcoin. If the price regains this level and maintains its position above it, it could signal the beginning of a new bull market.
*This is not investment advice.
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What Level Needs to Be Regained for Bullish Sentiment to Resurface in Bitcoin?

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Other articles published on Jun 28, 2026

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