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<p><strong>Toncoin</strong><a href="https://yellow.com/asset/ton" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">(TON)</a> is hovering at a make-or-break technical level near its 200-day moving average, with the next move likely to decide whether its May rally survives or unravels.</p>
<h2 id="key-points">Key Points:</h2>
<blockquote>
 <ul>
  <li>TON is testing the $1.75-$1.80 zone, the line separating a long-term recovery from a deeper bearish slide.</li>
  <li>The token surged from roughly $1.30 to nearly $2.90 in early May before profit-taking erased much of the gain.</li>
  <li>Holding above the 200-day average could turn the pullback into a healthy retest ahead of another leg higher.</li>
 </ul>
</blockquote>
<h2 id="toncoin-tests-critical-support">Toncoin Tests Critical Support</h2>
<p>Toncoin has <a href="https://u.today/zcash-zec-paints-falling-star-as-momentum-fades-toncoin-ton-on-verge-of-bullish-boundary-shiba-inu" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">reached</a> one of the most significant technical zones it has seen in months. The token sits directly on top of a bullish boundary that traders watch closely.</p>
<p>That boundary lines up with the 200-day moving average, currently in the $1.75 to $1.80 range. Reclaiming and holding above that line has historically marked the split between a sustained downtrend and a longer-term recovery.</p>
<p>The current setup follows a violent breakout earlier in May. TON climbed from about $1.30 to nearly $2.90 in a short window, <a href="https://www.tronweekly.com/ton-price-analysis-breakout-retest-could-trigger-major-move-toward-3/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">driven</a> by heavy volume and speculative momentum.</p>
<p>Profit-taking then struck hard. Buyers ran out of energy near the highs, and the price unwound quickly back toward its breakout base.</p>
<p><strong>Also Read:</strong><a href="https://yellow.com/news/xrp-eyes-150-breakout-supply-tightens" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">XRP Eyes $1.50 Breakout As Exchange Supply Tightens</a></p>
<h2 id="why-traders-watch-the-200-day-average">Why Traders Watch the 200-Day Average</h2>
<p>The broader picture is not yet fully bearish, and that nuance matters for how analysts read the chart. TON still trades above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both of which <a href="https://coinpedia.org/price-analysis/toncoin-price-surges-while-crypto-market-stalls-heres-what-driving-the-rally/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">turned</a> higher after months of decline.</p>
<p>Momentum tells a more cautious story. The <a href="https://yellow.com/learn/the-relative-strength-index-rsi-what-it-is-and-how-it-works" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">RSI</a> ran hot during the rally and rolled over sharply, while falling volume on the retrace signals that the breakout frenzy has cooled.</p>
<p>Analysts frame the current zone as a verdict on the rally. If TON defends the boundary and reclaims the $1.95 to $2.00 trendline, the correction could become a retest before another push toward the $2.40 region and the recent highs.</p>
<p>A clean break below support would carry the opposite message, opening the door to a slower grind lower of the kind that defined the token's first quarter.</p>
<h2 id="telegram-drove-the-may-surge">Telegram Drove the May Surge</h2>
<p>The current standoff traces back to a roadmap shift from Telegram founder <strong>Pavel Durov</strong>. In early May, Telegram replaced the <a href="https://yellow.com/news/telegram-ton-validator-staking-surge" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TON Foundation as the network's largest validator</a> and rolled out its "Make TON Great Again" plan focused on lower fees and faster transactions.</p>
<p>That announcement sent TON up more than 100% within a week and briefly lifted it back <a href="https://yellow.com/news/toncoin-rally-telegram-crypto-bet-focus" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">toward $3.00</a> before the pullback set in.</p>
<p><strong>Read Next:</strong><a href="https://yellow.com/news/bitcoin-rally-ceiling-sellers-77050" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin Rally Hits A Ceiling As Sellers Guard $77,050 Resistance</a></p>

Toncoin Nears Pivotal $1.80 Zone That Could Reignite Or End Its Run

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Other articles published on May 25, 2026

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