Jerome Powell

Gold

<p>Bitcoin fell 40% while global liquidity went up. Gold rallied. M2 money supply climbed. BTC broke down below $100,000. That wasn’t supposed to happen.</p>
<p>Macro analyst Raoul Pal says the bull market isn’t dead, just delayed. According to a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uflpsQbm0yg" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">breakdown by analyst Nathan Sloan</a>, Pal argues crypto’s 4-year cycle has stretched into a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/shorts/rSNT4sX-vgQ" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">5-year cycle</a>, pushing the real peak to 2026.</p>
<p>Because of this, there won’t be a crypto winter this year, but a delayed mega-boom instead.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-why-bitcoin-stopped-following-liquidity">Why Bitcoin Stopped Following Liquidity</h2>
<p>Bitcoin and global M2 have moved together for years. When liquidity rises, BTC rises. The 2020-2021 bull run followed this pattern closely.</p>
<p>This cycle broke that trend. M2 went up. Bitcoin went sideways, then down. Investors expecting $200,000 watched BTC slide instead.</p>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">
 <p><em>“Everyone was expecting super super highs. We got the absolute opposite,” </em>Sloan noted.</p>
</blockquote>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="the-fed-pushed-the-timeline-back">The Fed Pushed the Timeline Back</h2>
<p>US government debt keeps growing. Interest payments are getting harder to manage. The government needs lower rates to refinance.</p>
<p>But Jerome Powell kept rates high to fight inflation. That delayed the cheap money that usually drives crypto higher.</p>
<p>Bitcoin follows the business cycle. When that cycle stretches, so does crypto’s timeline. The 2025 peak many expected may now arrive in 2026.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="short-term-crash-long-term-boom">Short-Term Crash, Long-Term Boom</h2>
<p>Short-term pain and long-term gains can happen together.</p>
<p>In 2019, the Fed ended tightening and started easing. Bitcoin still dropped for six more months before turning around. Liquidity takes time to hit markets.</p>
<p>If that pattern repeats, another 50% drop is possible before the bottom. But once liquidity flows through, the rally could be sharp.</p>
<p>Altcoin season is still expected. It just follows Bitcoin’s lead, so it waits too.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="what-comes-next">What Comes Next</h2>
<p>The next few months matter. A <a href="https://coinpedia.org/news/trump-adds-fed-governor-christopher-waller-to-shortlist-to-replace-jerome-powell/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">new Fed chair</a> is expected to cut rates. That shift could restart the liquidity engine.</p>
<p>Sloan says Pal’s thesis should get confirmed or rejected by the end of Q1. If the theory holds, the crypto rally was never canceled, just pushed back.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-faqs">FAQs</h2>
<div class="schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block">
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1767956279578">
  <strong>What is Bitcoin’s price prediction for January 2026?</strong>
  <p>Analysts suggest Bitcoin could peak in 2026, potentially above $200,000, if liquidity flows and macro conditions align with the delayed bull market cycle.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1767956297720">
  <strong><strong>What are the biggest risks to Bitcoin’s price in 2026?</strong></strong>
  <p>Major risks include global recessions, tighter crypto regulations, declining liquidity, or a sustained breakdown below key support levels.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1767956311787">
  <strong><strong>How much will BTC be worth in 2030?</strong></strong>
  <p>Bitcoin price forecasts for 2030 range from $380K to $900K, driven by scarcity, long-term adoption, and expanding institutional participation.</p>
 </div>
 <div class="schema-faq-section" id="faq-question-1767956352976">
  <strong><strong>Is Bitcoin still a good hedge against inflation in the long term?</strong></strong>
  <p>Bitcoin’s fixed supply makes it attractive as an inflation hedge, especially during currency debasement and long-term economic uncertainty.</p>
 </div>
</div>

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Raoul Pal’s 5-Year Cycle Theory Pushes Peak to 2026

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