Crash

FOMC

Bitcoin

Momentum

With the FOMC Meeting December 2025 just one day away, traders are asking one big question: Is another Bitcoin price crash coming? The Fed’s decision has repeatedly shaken BTC this year, and the upcoming <a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/crypto-currency-news/us-fed-third-rate-cut-december-most-crucial-week-2025" style="font-size: 16px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Fed meeting rate cut</a> probability is already driving strong market speculation.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the current 375–400 target range is expected to shift again, with 89.4% probability of a 25 bps rate cut and 10.6% chance of a 50 bps cut.
<img alt="CME FedWatch Tool" src="https://d3iuzwoiyg9qa8.cloudfront.net/webadmin/storage/public/commonEditerImage/XN1C3udKREvtXl07MmuPVxNj81RoheFA7z90pE8T.jpg" width="300" style="min-width: 16px; min-height: 16px; margin: 10px 0px;" title="CME FedWatch Tool">
Source: FedWatch Tool
The announcement will come on Wednesday, December 10, 2025 at 8:00 PM CET, followed by Jerome Powell's press conference at 8:30 PM CET, which is usually where volatility explodes.
While BTC generally likes rate cuts, it usually tends to experience sharp downside immediately following the event.
<h3 id="span-span-style-font-size-16px-btc-history-suggests-another-drop-fomc-reactions-in-2025-span-span">BTC History Suggests Another Drop: FOMC Reactions in 2025</h3>
Here is how the crypto king reacted to every FOMC meeting date in 2025:
<ul>
 <li>January 29:-25% (worst crash of the year)</li>
 <li>March 19: –12%</li>
 <li>May 7: +15%&nbsp; only bullish reaction</li>
 <li>June 18: –8%</li>
 <li>July 10: Negative volatility - chart showing red reaction</li>
 <li>September 17: –7%</li>
 <li>October 29: -19% (second-biggest Bitcoin price crash)</li>
</ul>
Six of the last seven meetings have sparked red candles. This is why traders fear that the FOMC Meeting Countdown may be setting up a repeat—possibly sending Bitcoin lower once again. The final meeting of the year, December 10, remains marked as “???” in most analyses, increasing market uncertainty.
<h4>Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bearish Flag Signals a Deeper BTC Price Crash</h4>
At press time, It&nbsp;trades at $90,461, down 1.4% on the day but still up 4.49% weekly, with $57.34B in 24h volume and a $1.8T market cap. The Bitcoin price prediction shows a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that follows a major breakdown.&nbsp;
<img alt="BTC Price Chart" src="https://d3iuzwoiyg9qa8.cloudfront.net/webadmin/storage/public/commonEditerImage/4RNRj6g7WuEdRYRGzYOgGYGbXgn6ummipMPkk8kK.jpg" width="300" style="min-width: 16px; min-height: 16px; margin: 10px 0px;" title="BTC Price Chart">
Source: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/chart/OjXaap1N/?symbol=BITSTAMP%3ABTCUSD" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TradingView</a>
It was rejected from the $92,000–$93,500 resistance zone, creating multiple lower highs, and this strengthens bearish momentum. The flagpole stretches from $116,000 → $82,000, a $34,000 move.
If it&nbsp;breaks below $88,500, the measured target aligns almost perfectly with $70,000. This matches trader concerns asking: Will it&nbsp;crash to 70K after the Fed meeting?
Momentum indicators confirm weakness:
<ul>
 <li>RSI at 45, struggling to cross the bullish zone</li>
 <li>Volume remains average, but a spike during breakdown could accelerate a sell-off</li>
</ul>
Below $88,500, major supports lie at $84,000, $80,500, and finally $70,000—a potential 22–25% decline from current levels. To invalidate the bearish structure, it&nbsp;must reclaim $93,500.
<h4>Market Sentiment: Why Big Players Are Buying the Dip</h4>
Despite rising fear, institutional confidence is surging.
Data from <a href="https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1998019591780659470" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Lookonchain</a> shows Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy bought 10,624&nbsp;coins worth $962.7M, raising total holdings to 660,624 coins&nbsp;with an average price of $74,696—now sitting on $11.23B in unrealized gains.
<img alt="Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy bought 10,624 BTC" src="https://d3iuzwoiyg9qa8.cloudfront.net/webadmin/storage/public/commonEditerImage/zjBG4eIZSajvWzgWFhZnXxqREjIRoRCOqCcIXZ5I.jpg" width="300" style="min-width: 16px; min-height: 16px; margin: 10px 0px;" title="Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy bought 10,624 BTC">
Source: X
Last week alone, 9 public companies added 11,260 BTC, worth over $1B. This aggressive accumulation suggests that major players do not believe a deep <a href="https://www.coingabbar.com/en/crypto-currency-news/bitcoin-price-crash-ahead-of-fomc-meeting-whats-next-for-btc" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin price crash</a> will damage long-term value.
<h4>Conclusion</h4>
With the FOMC meeting countdown nearly over, it&nbsp;sits at a crossroads. Bitcoin price prediction warn of a fall toward $70K, but strong institutional buying shows confidence in long-term upside. If it&nbsp;breaks $93,500, the bearish outlook fades. Until then, volatility is almost guaranteed. Traders should stay cautious but avoid panic—history shows that fear-driven dips often become the next big opportunity.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before any crypto investment.

Bitcoin Price Crash Coming Just After FOMC Meeting December 2025

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