bullish

Bitcoin

Four

Rekt

Bitcoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC</a>) is due for a “parabolic” reaction as a classic volatility indicator plumbs new all-time lows.
Key points:
<ul>
 <li>Bitcoin’s Bollinger BandWidth indicator offers hope of a 2023-style BTC price surge into year-end.</li>
 <li>BandWidth avoided a “red” event despite the recent BTC price drawdown.</li>
 <li>Traders demand more proof of an enduring market rebound.</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="bitcoin-bollinger-bandwidth-preps-parabolic-leg-up">Bitcoin Bollinger BandWidth preps “parabolic leg up”</h2>
In an <a href="https://x.com/GertvanLagen/status/1995955586610200931" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank">X thread</a> on Wednesday, macro strategist Gert van Lagen presented a key signal from Bitcoin’s Bollinger BandWidth.
Bollinger BandWidth measures the percentage difference between the upper and lower Bollinger bands, which themselves act as a leading indicator for BTC price volatility.
On monthly timeframes, that difference has never been smaller, per data from sources including <a href="https://subscription.cointelegraph.com/?_gl=1*enpnlb*_ga*MTE3NDE3MjgzMC4xNzE1NjcwODE1*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTc0NDcyNDI2NS40MS4xLjE3NDQ3MjQyNjkuNTYuMC45MTY3MzAwMzI." rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Cointelegraph Markets Pro</a> and <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BITSTAMP" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank">TradingView</a>.
<figure>
 <img alt="Bitcoin Bollinger Bands repeat ‘parabolic’ bull signal from late 2023" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-12/019ae360-ce12-7dc0-8a30-b99fafecea40" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD one-month chart with Bollinger BandWidth data. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
 </figcaption>
</figure>
 History shows that BandWidth rarely drops below 100 on its scale, but each time it does, the BTC price reacts sharply.
“Historically, every time this triggers, Bitcoin follows with a direct parabolic leg up,” Van Lagen commented.
<blockquote>
 “No red signal flashed in the previous months…”
</blockquote>
<figure>
 <img alt="Bitcoin Bollinger Bands repeat ‘parabolic’ bull signal from late 2023" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-12/019ae35d-5152-7b7d-a49f-338c62c99849" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD one-month chart with Bollinger BandWidth data. Source: Gert van Lagen/X
 </figcaption>
</figure>
 An accompanying chart shows previous instances of such a parabolic result. The previous “green” signal came at the start of November 2023, after which BTC/USD doubled in four months.
Continuing, Van Lagen referenced his future BTC price expectations, which involve a final push to new highs before Bitcoin’s next bear market ensues.
“This setup is identical to GOOGL prior to its final blow off wave, right before the 2008 financial crisis. A cascade of lower highs on the Bollinger Bandwidth, which gets broken to feed the subsequent bearish HTF volatility,” he wrote.
<h2 id="too-soon-to-celebrate">Too soon to celebrate?</h2>
Bitcoin traders remain unconvinced by market strength this week amid tentative signs of a recovery.
Related: <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-more-reliable-rsi-variant-bear-market-bottom-zone-87k" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin's ‘more reliable’ RSI variant hits bear market bottom zone at $87K</a>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
 <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">$BTC</a> 1W Still just a breakdown &amp; retest scenario until proven otherwise. Still going to plan. Volume is low, MACD/RSI needed a reset on 1D and below, + we dropped 45k with no bounce. I wouldn’t get loud on calling a bottom quite yet. <a href="https://t.co/VW0b0VF8IF" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">https://t.co/VW0b0VF8IF</a> <a href="https://t.co/Rerl1KTvOW" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/Rerl1KTvOW</a>— Roman (@Roman_Trading) <a href="https://twitter.com/Roman_Trading/status/1995931338088874444?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">December 2, 2025</a>
</blockquote>
On Wednesday, BTC/USD reached its highest levels in over two weeks, eyeing $94,000 on the back of rumors of a <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/trump-hints-kevin-hassett-next-fed-chair" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_self">pro-crypto US Federal Reserve chair</a>.
“Price did now make a higher high and higher low, so technically the market structure is back to bullish on this timeframe,” trader Daan Crypto Trades acknowledged in an X post.&nbsp;
<blockquote>
 “But to properly get this going I want to see it sustain above this current price area.”
</blockquote>
<figure>
 <img alt="Bitcoin Bollinger Bands repeat ‘parabolic’ bull signal from late 2023" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-12/019ae35e-2e26-706c-8f9b-7950957527d8" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USDT perpetual contract four-hour chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X
 </figcaption>
</figure>
 As <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-dips-under-84k-bitcoin-faces-pivotal-week-2025-candle" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Cointelegraph reported</a>, the current spot price zone holds significant importance for the 2025 yearly candle, with BTC/USD starting the year at $93,500.
“Bitcoin has an entire month to perform 2% upside to end the month above the ~$93500 Four Year Cycle level and close the year as a green candle,” trader and analyst Rekt Capital <a href="https://x.com/rektcapital/status/1995907713356702101" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank">noted</a> Tuesday.
<figure>
 <img alt="Bitcoin Bollinger Bands repeat ‘parabolic’ bull signal from late 2023" src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2025-12/019ae35e-baf9-7e50-8ca8-32c2c3504a07" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD 12-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X
 </figcaption>
</figure>
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin Bollinger Bands repeat ‘parabolic’ bull signal from late 2023

Table of Contents

Cointelegraph

Other articles published on Dec 3, 2025

Join our free newsletter for daily crypto updates!