Crash

bullish

Bitcoin

Arthur

<p>Bitcoin dropped as it approached its all-time high. In a few hours, the market erased several billion dollars, revealing once again its extreme volatility. Despite this marked correction, several analysts maintain a bullish scenario, estimating that this pullback does not call into question the underlying trend.</p>
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  <h2 class="in-brief--title" id="in-brief">In Brief</h2>
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   <li>Bitcoin suffered a sharp drop, falling from $121,000 to $102,000 in a few hours, triggering $19 billion in liquidations.</li>
   <li>Peter Brandt mentions two scenarios: a “shakeout” followed by a new ATH at $125,100, or a trend break with a drop towards $50,000 – $60,000.</li>
   <li>Charles Edwards warns of the dangers of excessive leverage, even starting at 1.5x, in a still very unstable market.</li>
   <li>Arthur Hayes sees the end of monetary tightening as a signal for massive crypto buying.</li>
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<h2 id="towards-a-final-correction-before-the-peak">Towards a Final Correction Before the Peak ?</h2>
<p>While <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-and-ethereum-etfs-see-755m-withdrawn-following-volatile-weekend/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin ETFs face major outflows</a>, veteran financial markets trader Peter Brandt stated in a recent statement that the flagship crypto could reach a new all-time high in the coming days, but not without turbulence.</p>
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<p>He <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-shakeout-all-time-highs-near-crypto-analyst" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">envisions</a> two distinct scenarios: <em>“either a huge shakeout, which would be confirmed by an ATH in the coming week or a breach of the parabola, which has always historically led to a 75 % drop”</em>.</p>
<p>Here is how he details the two possible trajectories for BTC :</p>
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 <li>The bullish scenario : a strong correction (shakeout) quickly followed by a rebound towards a new ATH around $125,100 ;</li>
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 <li>The bearish scenario : a break of the current parabolic structure, which could lead to a drop of the price towards $50,000 – $60,000, without however returning to the 80 % declines observed in previous cycles.</li>
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<p>This analysis comes after a brutal correction on Friday, following <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/trumps-china-software-tariffs-hit-crypto-markets-hard/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Donald Trump’s announcement of new 100% tariffs on Chinese products</a>. In a few hours, bitcoin went from $121,000 to $102,000, triggering nearly $19 billion in liquidations across the entire market.</p>
<p>For Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, this extreme volatility is a direct reminder of the dangers linked to leverage use. <em>“This weekend reminded us how dangerous leverage can be, even beyond 1.5x”</em>, he warned.</p>
<p>Despite the price recovery around $111,000, caution remains necessary. The combination of sudden geopolitical events and over-leveraged positions continues to weaken market stability.</p>
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<h2 id="h-a-macro-economic-environment-favorable-to-bitcoin">A Macro-Economic Environment Favorable to Bitcoin ?</h2>
<p>Beyond technical fluctuations and brutal corrections, some analysts believe that current macroeconomic fundamentals could support a Bitcoin recovery.</p>
<p>In a recent post on X (formerly Twitter), Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, interpreted the intervention of Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, as a strong signal. <em>“Back up the trucks and buy everything on the market”</em>, he wrote, reacting to the implicit announcement of the end of quantitative tightening.</p>
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     <p>There you have it, QT is over. Back up the fucking truck and buy everything. <a href="https://t.co/kQbpBSOlOU" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">pic.twitter.com/kQbpBSOlOU</a></p>— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) <a href="https://twitter.com/CryptoHayes/status/1978215488229695874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">October 14, 2025</a>
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<p>This monetary pivot, synonymous with a gradual return to more accommodative policies, is historically favorable to risk assets like cryptos.</p>
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<p>On the side of economic analysts, this view is shared. Pav Hundal, strategist at Swyftx, sees in the current environment, falling oil prices, moderate inflation (2.9 % in August), weakening of the US labor market, a particularly supportive context for Bitcoin.</p>
<p><em>“All this inevitably leads us to upcoming rate cuts. It’s a Goldilocks zone for Bitcoin”</em>, he explains. For Lyn Alden, a renowned macroeconomist, the next quarter could prove quite favorable to the entire crypto market.</p>
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   <div class="social-embed-container video-container"><iframe title="“It’s Going To Be A Good Q4…” — Lyn Alden Year END Bitcoin Special" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tLGUqyq5kHE?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen sandbox="allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-forms"></iframe>
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<p>These elements reveal a potential transition toward a more sustained bullish cycle, fueled by monetary easing and the return of liquidity to the markets. However, while macroeconomic fundamentals argue for a recovery, caution remains necessary as long as geopolitical uncertainty and the structural volatility of the crypto market remain high, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/fear-greed-index-drops-is-panic-setting-in/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">as evidenced by its recent return to the fear zone</a>.</p>

Peter Brandt Predicts Either 125K BTC Or A 75 % Crash

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