FOMC

bullish

Bitcoin

April

Coin

<ul>
 <li>Whales are gradually building up, retail traders are departing, and the attitude toward bitcoin is at a multi-month low.</li>
 <li>Bitcoin's price has remained over $100K despite a decline in sentiment, with significant resistance in the $110K–$112K range.</li>
 <li>The FOMC and CPI, two recent macro developments, continue to influence Bitcoin's bullish structure and cause dramatic price swings.</li>
</ul>
<p><a href="https://coinfutura.com/bitcoin-eyes-120k-as-breakout-looms-market-momentum-builds-fast/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin sentiment</a> has hit its lowest point in months, just as large holders quietly accumulate and the price consolidates above $100,000. This divergence between retail mood and whale activity is fueling speculation about the next big move for the world’s leading cryptocurrency.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="retail-sentiment-sinks-while-whales-stack">Retail Sentiment Sinks While Whales Stack</h2>
<p>Retail traders are stepping back from Bitcoin, with sentiment dropping to a multi-month low and over 37,000 small holders exiting the market, according to CryptoRank. The sentiment ratio, which tracks positive and negative outlooks, has shown a tight correlation with price action between March 18 and June 20, 2025. In late March, Bitcoin traded under $68,000 as the sentiment ratio hovered around 1.25, but by early April, <a href="https://coinfutura.com/bitcoin-whale-wallets-surge-in-2025-as-10-btc-holdings-hit-record-accumulation/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">sentiment dipped</a> to 1.00 as BTC slid below $64,000, driving a wave of fear and caution.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXd2hjpe3ZRtZSEY7hRmGLkmaLnjGOxlb8Wya5IHL3p5qUoIUTZ0Zo2hr_W_IktFv8Chv1UosYFpZJvR_a6Eh6Yf66d84ZU9bcP2DnGQaM5S69gYslvKiszn3KfLfu7-ALwAC4sJ2g?key=82agS_uHxxINo5y1R9G1lQ" alt="">
 <figcaption>
  Source:&nbsp; <em>CryptoRank</em>
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<p>After April 10, there was a sharp change in momentum, with Bitcoin taking off again and surpassing $70,000, sending the emotion ratio skyrocketing above 1.75. Both price and emotion crested by the end of May, when Bitcoin hit $90,000 and the ratio hit 2.0, signifying a period of prevailing confidence. June, however, saw a reversal as sentiment dropped back to almost 1.00 even though Bitcoin was still above $87,000, demonstrating a glaring discrepancy between market sentiment and price gains.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="bitcoin-price-action-and-key-resistance">Bitcoin Price Action and Key Resistance</h2>
<p>The Bitcoin price chart since March 24 shows BTC hovering just above $75,000, with indecisive candles and failed breakouts marking the early weeks. The week of April 7 recorded a sharp drop to $72,000, the quarter’s lowest level, but <a href="https://coinfutura.com/bitcoin-whales-accumulate-as-trump-slams-powell-heres-why-prices-hold-at-104k/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">bullish momentum</a> returned by mid-April. A large green candle pushed BTC past $90,000, marking the strongest single-week gain of the quarter, and was followed by a sustained uptrend through early May.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image"><img src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcSa02slh74FR1UtdyiytGBeQU7nOjcieStHxqcnjOdACrI6i-M8_ngnRpvZLW25XbMVu2BZefVXJwB4pf6yqjcpYaZdyu9PT_Sdb5R9eAcnH0oApM3hoC730G1G4fXthF266yh?key=82agS_uHxxINo5y1R9G1lQ" alt="">
 <figcaption>
  Source:&nbsp; <a href="https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><em>Gecko</em></a>
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<p>By May 12, Bitcoin broke above the $100,000 milestone, climbing to a peak near $112,000 by the end of the month. Trading volumes increased during this rally, with strong green candles and minimal sell-side pressure dominating the chart. June has turned choppy, with BTC closing red in two of the past three weeks and selling pressure increasing around the $110,000–$112,000 resistance zone.</p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="macro-events-and-technical-structure">Macro Events and Technical Structure</h2>
<p>Bitcoin’s macro-driven growth since 2022 has reflected sharp reactions to key CPI and FOMC events, each triggering breakouts or cooldowns in trend, according to a report by Coinvo. The October 2022 CPI event marked the start of accumulation, with Bitcoin trading near $18,000, and by early 2023, another CPI event aligned with a breakout toward $24,000. The rally accelerated after the March 2023 CPI update, lifting BTC above $30,000 by June, while FOMC decisions repeatedly added volatility.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
 <div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
  https://twitter.com/ByCoinvo/status/1936061486428045326
 </div>
</figure>
<p>From January to May 2025, Bitcoin soared from $70,000 to $106,000, with FOMC meetings prompting only short pullbacks and bulls maintaining structure. The latest CPI tag from June 2025 shows price holding steady above $106,000, while the October 15, 2025 CPI event is highlighted at the $160,000–$170,000 range. Bitcoin’s <a href="https://coinfutura.com/bitcoin-drops-on-israel-iran-conflict-but-etf-inflows-hold-it-above-104k-range/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">structure remains bullish</a> with higher lows and explosive recoveries after CPI, mirroring previous setups before vertical moves.</p>
<p>The post <a href="https://coinfutura.com/bitcoin-sentiment-ratio-signals-caution-while-price-holds-above-100k/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin Sentiment Ratio Signals Caution While Price Holds Above $100K</a> appears on <a href="https://coinfutura.com" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Coin Futura</a>. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.</p>

Bitcoin Sentiment Ratio Signals Caution While Price Holds Above $100K

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