Deep Dive
1. Price–Volume Divergence (18 January 2026)
Overview: On January 18, 2026, a social media analyst noted a bullish divergence for TUSD: its 24-hour price was flat (+0.0%) while its 6-hour trading volume surged 32%, from $5.87 million to $7.73 million. This pattern can signal accumulation, where buying pressure builds without immediately moving the price.
What this means: This is a neutral-to-bullish short-term signal for TUSD because it suggests underlying demand may be forming, though it requires confirmation from price action. For a stablecoin, such technical signals are less critical than fundamental backing, but they can indicate trader sentiment shifts. (TradiSig AI-Driven Crypto Picks)
2. Legacy Yearn Vault Exploited (17 December 2025)
Overview: On December 16, 2025, a legacy iEarn vault on Yearn Finance was exploited for approximately $300,000. The attack targeted an immutable TUSD contract deployed over 2,100 days ago, manipulating its share price via a flash loan. Yearn confirmed its current vaults were unaffected.
What this means: This is neutral for TUSD itself but bearish for ecosystem perception. The exploit did not impact TUSD's reserves or peg, as it was confined to a deprecated DeFi contract. However, it underscores the persistent security risks in legacy DeFi systems that still hold TUSD, potentially affecting user confidence in integrated protocols. (The Defiant)
3. 2025 Stablecoin Review (18 December 2025)
Overview: A year-end analysis highlighted that 2025 was pivotal for stablecoins, with TUSD facing a major crisis. It nearly lost its dollar peg after over $500 million in reserves were compromised and moved into illiquid investments. Stability was restored only after Justin Sun injected a half-billion-dollar cash bailout.
What this means: This is bearish for TUSD's long-term credibility but highlights a critical backstop. The event exposed severe governance and transparency flaws, leading S&P to give TUSD its lowest stability score. The bailout prevented a collapse but the legal battle to recover reserves continues, leaving a cloud over its reliability as a mainstream stablecoin. (CCN.com)
Conclusion
TrueUSD's trajectory is defined by its recovery from a deep reserve crisis, now facing both lingering legal battles and faint signs of market interest. Its stability relies on the ongoing legal recovery of frozen assets and sustained holder confidence. Will the resolution of the $456 million court case finally restore its standing among the top stablecoins?