Latest TAC Protocol (TAC) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Liquidity Mining Incentives (Bullish Impact)

Overview: A liquidity mining campaign for TAC trading pairs on Carbon DeFi remains active as of January 21, 2026 (PrimalGlenn). These programs reward users for providing liquidity, often driving short-term demand.

What this means: Such campaigns create buy-side pressure as participants acquire TAC to stake in pools, while rewards incentivize holding. With TAC’s 24h volume up 15.73% to $1.78M, the campaign likely contributed to price support.

What to look out for: Campaign end dates and reward distribution schedules—sudden unlocks could increase sell pressure.

2. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview: TAC’s RSI-7 hit 32.7 on January 21, nearing oversold territory (30 = extreme oversold). The price ($0.00429) also held above its 7-day SMA ($0.00418), signaling potential reversal momentum.

What this means: Traders often interpret oversold RSI levels as buying opportunities, especially when paired with a bounce from a moving average. However, MACD remains bearish (-0.000027 histogram), reflecting lingering skepticism.

Key threshold: A sustained break above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ($0.00469) could signal stronger recovery.

Conclusion

TAC’s 24h gain stems from tactical liquidity incentives and technical traders capitalizing on oversold conditions. While the broader market dipped, TAC’s niche DeFi integration with Telegram and TON provides relative insulation.

Key watch: Monitor Carbon DeFi’s TAC pool activity and whether RSI sustains above 40 to confirm bullish momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Market-Wide Pullback (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The total cryptocurrency market cap declined 2.48% to $3.14 trillion in the last 24h (as of January 19, 2026). Bitcoin dominance rose to 59.15%, reflecting capital rotation away from altcoins like TAC.

What this means: TAC’s correlation with broader crypto trends makes it vulnerable to market-wide sell-offs. The Fear & Greed Index at "Neutral" (45) shows no strong contrarian buying pressure to counter the downturn. Altcoin season metrics also dipped 3.57% weekly, reducing appetite for riskier assets.

What to look out for: BTC dominance shifts above 59.5% could extend altcoin weakness.

2. Technical Bearishness (Bearish Impact)

Overview: TAC’s 7-day RSI at 35.81 approaches oversold territory but shows no reversal signs. The MACD histogram remains negative (-0.000025), confirming bearish momentum. Price trades below key SMAs ($0.00425 7-day; $0.00443 30-day).

What this means: Sustained RSI levels under 40 typically precede extended drawdowns. The MACD divergence suggests sellers control price action, with no immediate bullish catalyst to break resistance near $0.00425.

What to look out for: A sustained RSI rise above 45 could signal local bottoming.

3. Low Liquidity (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Despite a 45% 24h volume surge, TAC’s turnover ratio (volume/market cap) sits at 0.192 – below the threshold (0.3+) for healthy liquidity.

What this means: Thin markets amplify price swings, allowing modest sell orders to disproportionately impact price. The volume spike during a down move confirms distribution (sellers exiting positions).

What to look out for: Turnover consistently above 0.25 would indicate improved market depth.

Conclusion

TAC’s decline reflects a confluence of macro headwinds, weak technical structure, and fragile liquidity. While oversold conditions could invite short-term bounces, the token remains in a broader downtrend without fundamental catalysts.

Key watch: Can TAC hold the $0.004 psychological support if BTC dominance climbs further?