Deep Dive
1. Network Upgrade Catalysts (Bullish Impact)
Overview: SubQuery plans to launch Sharded Data Nodes in 2026, aiming to enhance RPC performance and scalability. This follows recent AI-integration milestones like the GraphQL Agent (July 2025), which simplified data querying.
What this means: Successful deployment could attract more developers, increasing SQT token utility for payment of network services. Historical precedent shows infrastructure upgrades like August 2025’s BlockOps partnership drove 187% weekly gains.
Citation: SubQuery
2. Adoption vs Competition (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Projects like Autonity use SubQuery for real-time futures data, validating its tech stack. However, The Graph ($GRT) dominates Ethereum indexing with 5x SubQuery’s market cap.
What this means: Niche multichain focus (300+ networks) offers growth potential, but failure to capture Ethereum dApp share could cap upside. Monitor new integrations like BlockOps’ managed indexers for adoption signals.
Citation: SubQuery
3. Technical & Sentiment Risks (Bearish Short-Term)
Overview: Weekly RSI hit 98.1 on Jan 17 – the highest since July 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance (58.9%) limits altcoin inflows.
What this means: Overbought conditions historically precede 20-30% pullbacks in low-float tokens like SQT (turnover: 0.46). Watch the $0.000769 Fibonacci support if profit-taking accelerates.
Citation: CoinMarketCap
Conclusion
SQT’s infrastructure roadmap could drive long-term value, but extreme overbought signals and altcoin headwinds favor cautious near-term positioning.
How will developer adoption metrics trend post-Sharded Nodes launch?