Latest RETARDIO (RETARDIO) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview: RETARDIO’s 14-day RSI hit 35.8 (near oversold threshold of 30) on November 24, while its MACD histogram turned positive for the first time in 11 days, signaling weakening downward momentum.

What this means: The bounce likely reflects algorithmic traders capitalizing on oversold conditions rather than organic demand. With price ($0.00285) still below the 30-day SMA ($0.00378), this could be a dead-cat bounce unless it sustains above $0.00309 (78.6% Fibonacci level).

2. Volume-Driven Speculation (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Trading volume surged to $1.13M (+48% YoY), with turnover (volume/market cap) at 40.5% – indicating high speculative churn.

What this means: Memecoins often see price spikes during periods of elevated turnover, as low liquidity amplifies retail-driven moves. However, such volatility works both ways – the 7.63% hourly drop shows rapid profit-taking.

3. Memecoin Sector Momentum (Neutral Impact)

Overview: The memecoin market cap grew 55% to $85B since June 30 despite Bitcoin dominance hitting 58.08% – a rare divergence suggesting niche appetite.

What this means: RETARDIO’s casino-themed narrative may be benefiting from renewed interest in “utility memecoins,” though its -72% 60-day return lags sector peers like SPX6900 (+10,500%).

Conclusion

RETARDIO’s bounce appears driven by technicals and memecoin sector curiosity rather than fundamental developments. Traders should monitor whether it holds above the 78.6% Fib level ($0.00309) – a breach could signal sustained recovery, while rejection may confirm bearish dominance.

Key watch: Can RETARDIO sustain volume above $1M/day – a threshold crossed only twice in the past month?

Deep Dive

1. Influencer Losses Amplify Skepticism (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Murad Mahmudov’s $490,000 loss on RETARDIO, reported in July 2025 (Cryptotimes), resurfaced in social discussions, highlighting risks of influencer-driven memecoins. His “memecoin supercycle” theory faces scrutiny after mixed results.
What this means: Retail traders often mirror influencer moves, so high-profile losses can trigger panic selling. RETARDIO’s lack of utility beyond meme culture leaves it vulnerable to sentiment shifts.

2. Technicals Signal Oversold but No Reversal (Mixed Impact)

Overview: RETARDIO’s RSI7 sits at 26.52 (oversold), but prices remain below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.00437; 30-day SMA: $0.00645). The MACD histogram shows slight bullish divergence (+0.000103) but no decisive momentum shift.
What this means: Oversold conditions could attract contrarian buyers, but sustained closes below $0.00355 (recent swing low) might extend the downtrend.

3. Bitcoin Dominance Starves Altcoins (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Bitcoin’s dominance rose to 59.8% (from 58.14% a month ago), reflecting capital rotation into safer assets amid a “Fear” market sentiment (index: 24).
What this means: Memecoins like RETARDIO, reliant on speculative inflows, struggle when risk appetite fades. The altcoin season index at 23 (“Bitcoin Season”) confirms this trend.

Conclusion

RETARDIO’s decline reflects fading memecoin hype, technical exhaustion, and a risk-off market tilt. While oversold signals hint at a bounce, the lack of catalysts and Bitcoin’s dominance suggest caution.
Key watch: Can RETARDIO hold $0.00355, or will breaking this level trigger another leg down?