Deep Dive
1. Super World Computer Mainnet Progress (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
QuarkChain’s Gamma testnet (final pre-mainnet phase) completed in August 2025, with mainnet targeting late 2025. The Ethereum L2 solution aims for 10,000+ TPS and AI-integrated dApps, backed by EIP-7907’s inclusion in Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade.
What this means:
Successful mainnet deployment could attract developers seeking scalable DeFi infrastructure. Historical examples like Polygon’s 2021 surge (+12,000%) highlight the upside of solving Ethereum’s congestion. However, delays or technical flaws risk eroding confidence given QKC’s -34% 90d price decline.
2. Ethereum L2 Competitive Pressures (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
The Layer-2 sector is crowded (Arbitrum, Optimism, zkSync), with $29B+ TVL. QuarkChain’s $32.6M market cap trails major competitors, and its 7.18B circulating supply faces sell pressure during “Bitcoin Season” (Altcoin Season Index: 22/100).
What this means:
QKC needs standout adoption metrics to justify valuation. While its 33% July 2025 rally outpaced ETH (+54%), sustaining momentum requires proving real-world utility like its Environmental Governance Platform partnership. Failure to capture 0.1%+ of L2 market share could prolong underperformance.
3. Korean Retail Momentum (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
QKC briefly topped BTC/ETH volumes on Upbit (31 July 2025) amid Ethereum’s 10th-anniversary hype. Korean trading accounted for 41% of its $7.2M 24h volume recently, but regional pumps often reverse sharply – seen in QKC’s -9.4% 30d return despite the spike.
What this means:
While retail interest provides liquidity (91.66% 24h volume surge), dependence on speculative trading increases volatility. Monitoring sustained Korean developer activity (e.g., hackathon participation) is critical to distinguish between hype and organic growth.
Conclusion
QKC’s fate hinges on executing its L2 vision while navigating a risk-off altcoin climate. The Gamma mainnet – expected by Q1 2026 – is the make-or-break event. Can QuarkChain convert its 77.5K Twitter followers and AWS partnership into measurable protocol revenue, or will it fade against deeper-pocketed rivals? Watch the 30-day SMA ($0.0047) – a sustained break above could signal trend reversal.