Latest QuantixAI (QAI) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Post-Token Unlock Stabilization (Bullish Impact)

Overview: QuantixAI had a scheduled token unlock of $24.35 million on January 16, 2026, as part of a larger $1.19 billion multi-asset unlock event (CoinMarketCap). Such events often lead to pre-emptive selling, increasing volatility and downward pressure.

What this means: The unlock has now passed, removing a key overhang of near-term supply dilution. The subsequent price rise suggests selling pressure may have been absorbed, allowing for a relief rally as uncertainty clears. For a mid-cap asset like QAI, this stabilization can attract short-term buyers looking for oversold conditions.

What to look out for: Monitor exchange inflow data for newly unlocked tokens to gauge if the supply is being held or immediately sold.

2. Neutral Technical Positioning (Mixed Impact)

Overview: QAI's 14-day RSI is at 43.27, which is neither oversold (<30) nor overbought (>70). The price is currently trading between the key 61.8% ($72.77) and 50% ($75.51) Fibonacci retracement levels, drawn from a swing high of $87.09 and low of $63.92.

What this means: The neutral RSI indicates the recent sell-off has paused, leaving room for a technical bounce without immediate reversal signals. However, the proximity to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level at $72.77 is a key hurdle; a sustained break above it could signal stronger bullish momentum, while a rejection could reaffirm the broader downtrend.

Conclusion

The 24-hour gain appears driven by a combination of reduced selling pressure after a known token unlock and a technical setup ripe for a short-term bounce. For holders, this suggests cautious optimism, but the prevailing medium-term downtrend remains intact.

Key watch: Can QAI decisively break and hold above the $72.77 Fibonacci resistance level in the next 24-48 hours?

Deep Dive

1. Exchange Liquidity Risk (Bearish Impact)

Overview: BitMart suspended QAI deposits/withdrawals on 26 September 2025 at the project’s request, citing unspecified operational adjustments. While not a delisting, the freeze reduces liquidity access for traders on a top-50 exchange.

What this means: Restricted exit routes often trigger panic selling on other platforms, as seen in QAI’s 24h volume decline (-19.2%) despite price drops—a sign of trapped liquidity. Historical precedents (e.g., KuCoin delistings in 2024) show such events can cause 15–30% sell-offs within days.

What to look out for: Clarity from BitMart or QuantixAI on timeline for service resumption.

2. Oversold Technicals (Bearish)

Overview: QAI’s 14-day RSI (23.93) sits at its lowest since July 2025, signaling extreme oversold conditions. However, the MACD histogram (-2.03) shows bearish momentum divergence, with price below all key moving averages (200-day SMA: $94.57).

What this means: While oversold RSI hints at potential relief, the lack of bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer candles) and Fibonacci support breaks (next level: $63.92 swing low) suggest continued downside risk.

Key threshold: A sustained close above the pivot point ($66.45) could signal short-term stabilization.

3. Altcoin Weakness (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.95% (from 58.76% last month), reflecting capital rotation away from riskier alts. QAI’s 24h underperformance (-2.59% vs. ETH -1.2%) aligns with this trend.

What this means: In “Bitcoin Season,” altcoins with low liquidity (QAI turnover: 0.12) often face amplified sell-offs. However, QAI’s 28.6% monthly drop exceeds the crypto market’s -3.29%, indicating project-specific risks dominate.

Conclusion

QAI’s decline reflects a mix of exchange-driven panic, technical breakdowns, and altcoin aversion. While oversold conditions may invite dip-buying, the lack of bullish catalysts and liquidity risks tilt risk/reward downward.

Key watch: Can QAI hold the $63.92 swing low, or will broken support trigger algorithmic sell orders?