Deep Dive
1. Volume Incentives (Q1 2026)
Overview: Pump.fun is finalizing a 30-day trading incentive program using its native PUMP token, discovered via SDK updates. The program aims to reward users based on trading volume, with initial test files suggesting 1B PUMP/day rewards (though likely adjusted).
What this means:
- Bullish: Could temporarily boost trading volume and token demand.
- Risk: Excessive token emissions (3% of supply/month in testing) may dilute value if not calibrated.
2. EVM Chain Expansion (2026)
Overview: Leaked API docs suggest plans to expand beyond Solana to Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) chains, enabling cross-chain token launches. No official timeline yet.
What this means:
- Bullish: Access to Ethereum’s larger developer/user base could revive market share lost to rivals like Bonk.fun.
- Risk: Execution complexity and competition in EVM memecoin markets (e.g., Base, Arbitrum).
3. Fee Structure Revamp (Q1 2026)
Overview: Following backlash over its 1% fee model and $615M Q4 2025 profit transfers, Pump.fun plans fee adjustments to better align creator/platform incentives.
What this means:
- Neutral: Lower fees might attract more creators but reduce revenue.
- Risk: Failure to balance sustainability could accelerate user migration to competitors.
4. Livestream Ecosystem (Ongoing)
Overview: Pump.fun is scaling its livestreaming feature, which drove viral token launches like FARTCOIN ($4.2M raised). Recent updates include streamer kits and clipper teams to amplify content.
What this means:
- Bullish: Enhanced social-fi integration could attract mainstream creators and viewers.
- Risk: Regulatory scrutiny over incentivized risky behavior (e.g., stunts for token pumps).
Conclusion
Pump.fun’s roadmap balances growth (EVM expansion, incentives) with damage control (fee adjustments) amid declining dominance. While short-term volume boosts are likely, long-term success hinges on retaining creators and navigating regulatory pressures.
Will Pump.fun’s EVM pivot and incentive programs offset its reputation as a “shovel seller” in the memecoin gold rush?