Power Protocol (POWER) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Binance Alpha Launch & Airdrop Mechanics (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
POWER debuts on Binance Alpha on 5 December 2025, with an airdrop requiring 245+ Alpha Points. Only 210M tokens (21% of supply) circulate initially. The tiered airdrop could drive short-term demand but risks volatility from low liquidity and Alpha’s niche user base.

What this means:
Limited initial access may amplify price swings, while successful airdrop distribution could foster early community engagement. However, Alpha’s smaller audience vs. main exchanges caps upside potential until broader listings (Binance).

2. Tokenomics Cliff Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
84.8% of POWER’s 1B supply is locked post-launch. Key unlocks begin in 2026:
- Investors (16.15%): 4–12-month cliff, then 6–36-month vesting.
- Team (9.23%): 12-month cliff, 36-month vesting.

What this means:
Post-cliff unlocks (starting Q2 2026) could flood the market with 252M+ tokens annually, pressuring prices if demand lags. Early investors may take profits, mirroring Marina Protocol’s 39% drop post-unlock (Bitrue).

3. Gaming Ecosystem Traction (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Fableborne, POWER’s flagship game, has 380K+ testers. The roadmap targets Q1 2026 expansions into non-gaming apps and AI-driven adtech. Success hinges on converting players into token users.

What this means:
Each 10% increase in Fableborne’s active users could drive demand for staking and in-game rewards, tightening circulating supply. However, gaming tokens face high attrition – Marina Protocol retained just 32% of launch users long-term (CoinMarketCap).

Conclusion

POWER’s short-term volatility will hinge on Alpha’s launch liquidity and airdrop participation, while long-term viability depends on navigating token unlocks and proving gaming utility.

Watchlist item: Can Fableborne’s Q1 2026 user growth outpace the 2026 investor token unlocks?