Deep Dive
1. Post-Launch Volatility (2 December 2025)
Overview:
MON’s price fell to $0.0225 (10% below its ICO price) on December 2, erasing initial gains from its November 24 mainnet launch. The chain’s DeFi ecosystem holds just $150M TVL, lagging behind competitors like Plasma. However, Monad processed 16M transactions in its first week, surpassing Avalanche and Arbitrum.
What this means:
This is neutral for MON. While weak TVL and broader market conditions pressured prices, high transaction volume signals organic usage. DeFi incentives (e.g., Euler Finance’s new rewards) could stabilize TVL if adoption accelerates. (The Defiant)
2. Bitget’s 20% APR Incentive (1 December 2025)
Overview:
Bitget launched a MON Earn program offering 20% APR until December 7, alongside an 800,000 MON airdrop for users increasing balances. The exchange aims to incentivize MON’s on-chain utility post-listing.
What this means:
This is bullish short-term. The yield campaign could attract capital inflows, countering selling pressure. However, sustainability depends on whether users retain MON after the promotional period ends. (CoinGape)
3. Arthur Hayes’ Bearish Warning (1 December 2025)
Overview:
Arthur Hayes labeled MON a “high FDV, low-float VC coin,” predicting a 99% crash. He criticized its tokenomics: 50.6% of supply is locked for insiders, with staking rewards adding inflationary pressure. MON has already fallen 24% since its ICO.
What this means:
This is bearish long-term. Hayes’ critique highlights systemic risks from concentrated ownership and weak circulating supply (10.8%). However, Monad’s tech (10K TPS EVM) could offset sentiment if adoption materializes. (AMBCrypto)
Conclusion
MON faces a credibility test: its technical strengths clash with tokenomics concerns and speculative trading. While exchange incentives and transaction growth suggest near-term resilience, long-term viability hinges on unlocking DeFi traction and addressing supply dilution. Will MON’s ecosystem outpace its critics, or will inflation and whale exits dominate the narrative?