Deep Dive
1. Suspected OTC Sell-Off (Bearish Impact)
Overview: On-chain analyst Eye reported a LAB investor allegedly selling tokens over-the-counter (OTC) at a 50% discount to market price on January 7, 2026. Such OTC sales often signal distress or lack of confidence in near-term prospects.
What this means: Large discounted OTC trades can flood secondary markets indirectly by spooking retail holders into preemptive selling. LAB’s 24h volume fell 35% to $4.83M alongside the price drop, suggesting thin liquidity exacerbated the impact.
What to look out for: Confirmation of the seller’s identity and whether the OTC activity persists.
2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: LAB broke below its 30-day SMA ($0.146) and 7-day EMA ($0.148), with the MACD histogram (-0.0034) confirming bearish momentum. The RSI-7 (34.15) neared oversold territory but showed no reversal signs.
What this means: Technical traders likely exited positions after the breakdown, targeting the next Fibonacci support at $0.133 (78.6% retracement level). The pivot point at $0.137 now acts as resistance.
What to look out for: A sustained close above $0.137 could signal short-term relief; failure risks a test of $0.110 (2025 swing low).
3. Crypto Market Weakness (Mixed Impact)
Overview: The total crypto market cap fell 2.37% in 24h, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin (BTC dominance rose to 59.29%). The Fear & Greed Index hit “Extreme Fear” (18/100), the lowest since November 2025.
What this means: LAB’s high beta to crypto markets – +46% in 60d vs BTC’s +27% – made it vulnerable to profit-taking during risk-off shifts. Derivatives data shows open interest in altcoins fell 8.7% in 24h, reflecting deleveraging.
Conclusion
LAB’s decline reflects a mix of project-specific risks (OTC sales, weak technicals) and sector-wide caution. While the sell-off appears overextended short-term, recovery hinges on stabilizing Bitcoin and containing OTC supply leaks.
Key watch: Can LAB hold above the critical $0.133 Fibonacci level, or will bearish sentiment drive a retest of 2025 lows?