Deep Dive
1. Post-Airdrop Sell Pressure (Bearish Impact)
Overview: HANA’s listing on Binance Alpha (26 Sept 2025) included an airdrop of 270 HANA tokens to eligible users. Historically, airdrop recipients often sell tokens quickly to lock in gains, especially in bearish markets.
What this means: Immediate sell pressure likely accelerated as recipients offloaded tokens into a market with limited liquidity ($11.4M 24h volume). The lack of vesting for airdropped tokens exacerbated downside momentum.
What to look out for: Exchange inflow/outflow metrics for HANA wallets linked to Binance Alpha.
2. Negative Sentiment & Allegations (Bearish Impact)
Overview: A viral tweet on 27 Sept 2025 accused Hana Network of inflated valuations ($40M FDV), KOL-driven pump-and-dump schemes, and lacking a functional product.
What this means: Retail investors reacted to perceived credibility risks, compounding selling pressure. Social volume for HANA spiked 320% in 24h, but sentiment polarity sank to –0.78 (scale: –1 to +1), per LunarCrush.
What to look out for: Team response to allegations or roadmap updates to restore confidence.
3. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)
Overview: HANA trades below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.0145, 30-day SMA: $0.0192). The RSI-7 at 31.86 signals oversold conditions but no bullish divergence yet.
What this means: Technical traders may avoid entering until a clear reversal pattern forms. The nearest resistance is $0.0145 (7-day SMA), while support sits at $0.0124 (current price).
Conclusion
HANA’s decline stems from a toxic mix of post-airdrop sell-offs, credibility concerns, and fragile liquidity. Until the team addresses allegations or delivers tangible product milestones, volatility may persist.
Key watch: Can HANA hold the $0.012 support, or will breaking this level trigger another cascade? Monitor social sentiment and exchange flows for clues.