Autonomys Network (AI3) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Guardians of Growth Staking (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The Guardians program allocates 5M AI3 (~$166K at current $0.0333) over 12 months to stakers. While this could reduce liquid supply and stabilize prices, the 0.5% token release (vs. 11.2% current circulating supply) may have limited impact unless participation surges.

What this means: Short-term price support is possible if staking locks >10% of circulating supply, but long-term sustainability depends on whether rewards attract new capital rather than just existing holders. Monitor staking rate via Autonomys dashboard.

2. AI Infrastructure Competition (Bearish Risk)

Overview: Autonomys targets decentralized AI storage/execution against established L1s (Filecoin, Render) and newer modular chains. Despite August 2025 exchange listings (Kraken, KuCoin), trading volume remains thin at $1.5M/day, signaling muted speculative interest.

What this means: Without measurable developer adoption (e.g., dApps deploying on Auto EVM), AI3 risks becoming a "feature token" in a saturated market. The upcoming Ecosystem Grants program’s success in funding AI-native projects is critical.

3. Technical Overheating (Bearish Short-Term)

Overview: AI3’s 21.5% 7-day rally pushed the 7-day RSI to 81.18 – deeply overbought historically. While the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.000891), Fibonacci retracement suggests a pullback toward $0.0288 (23.6% level) if selling accelerates.

What this means: Traders might take profits near resistance at $0.039 (August high), but a sustained break above $0.0357 pivot point could invalidate bearish structure. Watch order book depth on BitMart (only EVM-compatible exchange).

Conclusion

AI3’s path hinges on converting its recent exchange listings into developer momentum while managing technical overextension. The 12-month staking program offers a floor, but the token needs visible AI dApp deployments to escape "proof-of-concept" pricing. Can Auto ID v2.0’s decentralized identity framework, slated for 2026, catalyze the needed use cases?