Aurora (AURORA) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Tokenomics 2.0: Buybacks & Burns (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Aurora’s Token Economy 2.0 introduced a buyback-and-burn mechanism using 30% of NEAR transaction fees from Aurora contracts. In July 2025, 3,231 AURORA ($185 at current prices) were burned. While this creates deflationary pressure, the impact is minimal given Aurora’s 660M circulating supply. CEO Alex Shevchenko noted burns could scale to 1.5% annually if Aurora reaches 1M monthly active users (currently ~30k).

What this means:
The burn mechanism is structurally bullish but currently insignificant. Sustained ecosystem growth is needed to amplify its effect.

2. Ecosystem Adoption & Partnerships (Bullish Catalyst)

Overview:
Aurora’s incubator program launched five projects in 2025, including Optima Financial (tokenized investments) and COCA Wallet (stablecoin Visa integration). Partnerships with DEXs like DODO and OpenOcean improved liquidity, though TVL remains low compared to rivals.

What this means:
Real-world use cases (e.g., COCA’s 6% APY debit card) could attract users, but Aurora needs faster adoption to escape its $38M market cap stagnation.

3. Macro Sentiment & BTC Dominance (Bearish Risk)

Overview:
The crypto Fear & Greed Index sits at 27 (“Fear”), and Bitcoin’s 58.68% dominance signals risk-off conditions. Aurora’s 65% pump on October 30, 2025, during a market-wide dip, showed volatility but lacked follow-through, aligning with the broader “Bitcoin Season” trend.

What this means:
Until market sentiment shifts to favor altcoins, Aurora’s upside may remain capped despite project-specific developments.

Conclusion

Aurora’s price hinges on executing token burns at scale and proving its incubator projects can onboard users. While the ecosystem shows innovation, macroeconomic headwinds and low liquidity ($1.2M daily volume) pose near-term risks. Watch Q1 2026 burn rates and whether COCA’s stablecard gains mainstream traction – these could signal a turnaround for the oft-overlooked Ethereum-compatible chain.