Deep Dive
1. Token Supply Mechanics (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
AIC has burned 8M tokens ($1.5M) and announced another $1M buyback campaign ending August 2025. This reduces the circulating supply (currently 749M of 1B total), aiming to create scarcity. Historical burns correlated with price surges, like the 78% weekly rally in October 2025.
What this means:
Scarcity-driven demand could lift prices if trading volume rebounds. However, with turnover at 5.6% (low liquidity), short-term volatility is likely. Monitor on-chain burn proofs and exchange inflows.
2. Roadmap Execution (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Phase 3 (Q4 2025–Q1 2026) introduces gamification and play-to-earn features, while Phase 4 targets smart home integrations. Delays or underwhelming adoption could dampen sentiment.
What this means:
Successful delivery could tap into the $200B AI companion market (Airdrop Blaze), but missed deadlines risk eroding trust. The RSI at 35.44 suggests oversold conditions, but MACD signals remain weak.
3. Macro & Sector Risks (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Bitcoin dominance (58.65%) and the Fear & Greed Index (25) signal risk-off sentiment. AIC dropped 50% weekly in October 2025 as capital rotated to Binance meme coins (Yahoo Finance).
What this means:
AIC’s AI niche is volatile—bullish if the AI narrative resurges, but vulnerable to broader altcoin weakness. The 200-day EMA at $0.179 acts as stiff resistance.
Conclusion
AIC’s price hinges on balancing supply reduction with product execution amid shaky macro conditions. Immediate focus: Can the next burn cycle (Aug 2025) offset selling pressure from the Fear-driven market? Watch for a close above the 50% Fibonacci retracement ($0.153) as a bullish signal.