Half of all Bitcoin is now underwater

For the first time this cycle, more $BTC sits at an unrealized loss than in profit — roughly 10.5 million coins underwater against 9.8 million in the green, with price testing the 200-week moving average near $61,300. Every past appearance of this crossover came deep in a bear market and landed near a major cycle low. The split now: is the bottom forming, or still months away?

The bullish camp treats the pain itself as the signal. As CryptoFV details, this metric hit 55% in late 2018 before $BTC bottomed at $3,200, and 52% during the FTX collapse before the run to $126K — and long-term holders are already accumulating, which could compress the timeline. The case from WhaleFlow is blunter: bottoms form when sellers are exhausted, and that transfer to institutional hands is executing today.

The pushback is about levels, not the signal. Data shared by Bibek Raj shows the divide — recent buyers near $80K are bleeding while holders near $48K sit calm — with models pointing to a $50K–55K floor, likely in Q4. To Pollux Insights, past versions of this setup still demanded weeks or months of consolidation. Capitulation moment or slow grind lower — which side are you on?

Bitcoin

Over 10 million BTC are now held at a loss. This crossover marked every past Bitcoin bottom. Buy or wait?

Half-of-all-Bitcoin-is-now-underwater

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Hi everyone ☕  Take a quick break from staring at the $BTC  chart and let’s catch up with this week’s crypto and tech digest:  ⚽ Kraken x FIFA: Kraken just became the official sponsor of the 2026 World Cup - tapping into over 6 billion global viewers.  🤖 Visa x OpenAI: Visa partnered with OpenAI to launch “Agentic Commerce,” letting AI agents make safe transactions directly through ChatGPT.  📈 SpaceX IPO: SpaceX is preparing for what could be the largest IPO ever - $135 per share, targeting a ~$1.8 trillion valuation and aiming to raise around $75 billion.  🏦 Bank Custody: Spanish giant Cecabank launched a MiCA-compliant crypto custody platform for traditional retail banks.  🇺🇸 US Tax Breaks: Congress is debating a de minimis exemption to remove tax paperwork for small everyday crypto purchases.  Nobody’s even surprised when big institutions dive deeper into crypto - it’s just business as usual. Europe is locking in MiCA, while Washington is still fighting over regulation.  My clients no longer ask if digital assets make sense. They’re focused on how to position capital to profit from these new institutional rails.  As Wall Street and tech giants build their heavily regulated ecosystems, will there still be room for regular retail traders? Or is the Wild West era of easy asymmetric gains officially over?   #BTC Price Analysis#  #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#  #Bitcoin

This was the market the last time BTC was at $26k. 📉💰

What did you notice? 🧐👀  $BTC #Analysis #Updates

$ZEND Breaking : zkLend has officially announced the closure of its operations, with the remaining $200,000 in treasury allocated to a user recovery fund.


#Zklend #Zend #crypto

$RWAINC -Week 23 Operational Update 

 $RWAINC has released its Week 23 update, outlining product enhancements, infrastructure support, and partnership developments in its ongoing work within the real-world asset (RWA) sector.

Investor Platform Redesign
The updated investor platform is now live, featuring a revised interface and improved access to deal data. The company also announced an upcoming Private Investor Platform, expected to offer $9M+ in tokenized investment deals and automated buy-back features.

Google Cloud Program Inclusion
RWA Inc was accepted into the Google Cloud Startup Program, receiving $250K in cloud credits. These credits are designated for scaling infrastructure, AI tools, and backend services.

Partnership with Amano Invest
A strategic partnership has been formed with Amano Invest, a licensed marketplace focused on tokenized real estate. Initial asset offerings include Dubai-based properties with income-generation potential.

Community Session on Diamond Tokenization
RWA Inc hosted a discussion with Kimberlite Token on the tokenization of diamond assets. The event focused on expanding digital asset classes into legacy markets.

Operational Metrics and Growth Initiatives

400+ KPIs now tracked internally for performance monitoring

10 advisory/GTM projects signed; 3 IDOs live, 3 more pending

Licensing efforts on track for Q3 2025 security issuance approval

DEX and swap integrations are 75% complete

Referral system at 50% completion, targeting investor onboarding

$100K influencer campaign launched; 80% focused on private platform

Re-engagement targeting 20,000+ email users


This update reflects $RWAINC current roadmap execution across Infrastructure, regulatory preparations, and users Engagement.
$RWAINC #RWA

📉 Is $BTC  's Real Bottom Still 3 Months Away?  More than 50% of $BTC  supply is now underwater, and historically this kind of signal often appeared close to major bear market lows. So from that angle, the market may already be much closer to the bottom than people think.  My base case is a slow, exhausting bear market into autumn - sideways moves, support tests, weak hands leaving, and everyone losing patience. Not a full market collapse, but not a clean bullish reversal either. ⚡  For me, the maximum downside area is around $50K. If Bitcoin gets there, I would see it more as a deep accumulation zone than the start of something much worse.  So no, I’m not waiting for a “perfect bottom” candle. I think the market can stay heavy for a few more months, while smart money slowly prepares for the next cycle.  DYOR 👀  #BTC Price Analysis#   #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#

The bottleneck in any creator economy is the matching 🎯

Millions of pieces of content, thousands of brand briefs, and nothing intelligent enough to connect the two at scale in real time. So inventory sits unused and the model stays theoretical.

That's the problem PLRL points its AI at in our upcoming Content Marketplace.

Content gets matched to briefs. Ads running on that content get matched to viewers at the impression level. The right inputs find the right outcomes automatically, which is the only way an economy this size actually functions.

We didn't add AI to PLRL. We built PLRL on it.

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Not financial advice—just a reminder that innovation often starts quietly before the world notices. Keep an eye on Diamante.
 $DIAM

📊 $NEAR  Protocol – Daily Correction  Price topped around the target area of $2.80 and began correcting the February cycle.  The initial first leg found support at 1.84, and a short-term bounce could happen from there before resuming the correction.  The downside target for the daily correction comes in at 1.50 – 1.20, from where a larger bounce could take place.  Will $NEAR  hold above 1.00 and resume the bullish trend, or will the correction take it lower?  #Crypto  #Trading  #ElliottWave

Wall St. predicts $10K and $150K BTC 👀

Bloomberg and CryptoQuant say $10K BTC. Bernstein says $150K. Same year, opposite bets. Who's right?

Bloomberg, CryptoQuant Call 10K BTC

Wall Street is staring at Bitcoin from two opposite ends of 2026. On one side, Bloomberg's Mike McGlone and CryptoQuant's risk models point to a $10K scenario built on macro tightening, deflationary pressure, and a broader risk-asset pullback, as Casmiro frames it. These are not consensus calls — they are what the worst case looks like if the system cracks. On the other side, Bernstein projects $150K by year-end, arguing the market has already bottomed and that ETFs, corporate treasuries, and steady institutional flows are quietly building a floor under $BTC.

The community is leaning toward the bull case, but with conditions. Dagen whale sees $150K as the more achievable scenario over time, while $10K would require a sudden liquidity crisis or a regulatory blow that simply isn't visible right now. IvseDegen reads the same setup, framing the debate less as a contradiction and more as a gap between extreme-fear math and structural reality — stronger hands holding supply, $BTC behaving more like a macro asset than a speculative one, and no obvious trigger for systemic collapse.

Both sides agree on one thing: the road to $150K won't be smooth. Sideways stretches, sharp corrections, and volatility are the price of admission. The real question now is which signal matters more — McGlone's mean-reversion math, or the slow institutional buildup the bulls keep pointing to. Where are you positioning?

Bloomberg,-CryptoQuant-Call-10K-BTC