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x402
$BTC | Introducing the SatoshiMacro Model (SMM)
A 48-signal quantitative Bitcoin cycle confluence model. Free. Built by a former institutional trader who traded allocated capital at a Sydney prop firm.
The 6 weighted tiers:
- Cycle Timing & Mass Psychology (30%): halving cycle position, power law deviation
- Valuation (25%): Mayer Multiple, MVRV Z-Score, Pi Cycle Top, NUPL
- Sentiment (20%): Fear & Greed, funding rates, open interest, Coinbase premium
- Rotation (10%): BTC dominance, altseason index
- Miner (10%): Puell Multiple, hash ribbons, hashrate vs peak
- Macro (5%): DXY, M2, yield curve, VIX
Lookahead-free expanding-window percentile rank. USD/AUD currency toggle. Calibrated 7-of-7 in-zone across BTC cycle inflections from 2013 through 2022.
100% free. No paywall, no email gate.
Full methodology + interactive gauge:
satoshimacro.com/tools/crypto/...
