2026

Spot

Ethereum

Bitcoin

<p>Ethereum closed the third quarter of 2026 up around 70.6 percent, its strongest third quarter on record. The price rose from $1,569.83 on July 1 to $2,689.39 on the evening of September 30. Bitcoin managed around 42.8 percent over the same period. For you as a holder, the more important question is therefore no longer how good the quarter was, but what the zone just below the quarterly high means for the weeks ahead, and which key dates now belong in your own calendar.</p>
<p>cryptoticker.io compiled this analysis itself on September 30, 2026. The basis is the public price history from CoinGecko for <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/prediction/ethereum-price-prediction/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Ethereum</a> and <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/prediction/bitcoin-price-prediction/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Bitcoin</a>, evaluated across 92 daily values per coin from the start of the quarter to its close.</p>
<h2 id="ethereum-in-the-third-quarter-of-2026-the-numbers-from-1-569-83-to-2-689-39">Ethereum in the third quarter of 2026: the numbers from $1,569.83 to $2,689.39</h2>
<p>The course of the quarter falls into two unequal halves. Until the end of July, Ethereum moved within a narrow band; the actual advance began in August and ran into the second half of September. The quarterly high stands at $2,775.17 and was reached on September 22. From there the price gave up around 3.5 percent by the close of the quarter.</p>
<p>The spread between the quarterly low and the quarterly high comes to a factor of 1.77 for Ethereum. For Bitcoin the same figure is 1.48. That is the sober core of the quarterly result: Ethereum swung considerably wider than Bitcoin this quarter, upwards as well as in the pullbacks in between. Anyone who stepped in during August is sitting on a different outcome today than someone who bought at the start of July.</p>
<p>To put the record report in context: specialist media put Ethereum's quarterly gain at 70.6 to 71.0 percent depending on the cut-off moment, and the previous record for a third quarter at 66.55 percent from 2025. Bitcoin, at 42.8 to 44 percent, is on its second-best third quarter since records began. The divergences are explained by the timing of the measurement within the final trading day, not by different data.</p>
<h2 id="why-ethereum-outperformed-bitcoin-in-the-third-quarter">Why Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin in the third quarter</h2>
<p>Three developments carry the move, and all three are quantified. Spot ETFs on Ethereum in the United States took in between 10 and just under 14 billion dollars over the quarter depending on the survey, with a concentration in August. Companies putting Ethereum on their own balance sheets bought holdings worth more than 15 billion dollars according to industry figures. And the capital locked in DeFi applications on Ethereum and its layer-2 networks grew to around 88 billion dollars.</p>
<p><strong>Total value locked</strong>, or TVL for short, denotes the sum of all funds users have paid into an application's contracts. The metric measures usage, not profit, and it also rises when the deposited coins simply become more expensive.</p>
<p>The difference from Bitcoin lies less in the demand itself than in the starting base. Ethereum began the quarter from a level well below its own record of August 2025, while Bitcoin stood closer to its all-time high. An inflow of the same size moves the smaller market value further in that situation. That is an explanation for the quarter just gone and not a promise for the next one.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/ethereum_quartalsbilanz_rekord_marke_2_bd8597dc63.webp" alt="Station clock with a blank dial, without numerals or hands, in a deserted railway concourse at night" width="1200" height="675">
 <figcaption>
  For German holders the purchase date counts for more than the time of day: the one-year deadline decides the tax on the quarterly gain, not the turn of the calendar.
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="spot-etfs-and-corporate-treasuries-where-the-inflows-came-from">Spot ETFs and corporate treasuries: where the inflows came from</h2>
<p>At this point the origin of the demand is what matters to you, because it says something about how durable it is. Inflows from exchange-traded products are more sluggish than trading on crypto exchanges. Such funds follow investment decisions with a lead time and withdraw in an orderly fashion when sentiment turns. That is exactly what was visible in several weeks of net outflows in the spring of 2026.</p>
<p>Purchases out of corporate treasuries work in the other direction. In the short term they are rare, because a company does not turn its balance sheet position over week by week. In exchange they concentrate on a few addresses, and a single decision can carry more weight there than a thousand retail purchases. If you use the quarterly result for your own planning, you should look at both sources separately rather than adding them into one figure.</p>
<p>A request for caution on the totals: ETF inflows are delimited differently by different providers, depending on whether exchange transactions and staking income are counted in. That is why a range appears here and not a round number. If you work with such values, pay attention to which delimitation the provider states.</p>
<h2 id="the-quarterly-high-at-2-775-17-and-the-zone-below-it">The quarterly high at $2,775.17 and the zone below it</h2>
<p>At the end of the quarter Ethereum stands some 85 dollars below its own quarterly high. That proximity is the reason the coming trading days deserve more attention than the turn of the calendar itself. A break above $2,775.17 raises the quarterly high into a starting point for the next price band. If the attempt fails repeatedly, the same figure turns into a lid that sellers orient themselves by.</p>
<p>On the downside the first point of orientation lies in the area around $2,500, which served repeatedly as a springboard in September. Below that begins the stretch in which the August advance first took shape. These figures are reference points from the measured course of the quarter and not a forecast. What they state is where a great deal was traded last quarter, not what happens next.</p>
<p>The distinction between a reference point and a price target matters. A reference point describes an area where the behaviour of buyers and sellers has changed in the past. A price target is an expectation. Analyst estimates for the fourth quarter diverge widely, and none of them is presented here as our own assessment.</p>
<h2 id="bitcoin-ends-the-quarter-up-42-8-percent-and-3-4-percent-below-its-quarterly-high">Bitcoin ends the quarter up 42.8 percent and 3.4 percent below its quarterly high</h2>
<p>Bitcoin came from $58,566.09 on July 1 to $83,640.10 at the close of the quarter, with the quarterly high at $86,596.74 on September 22. Both coins therefore reached their high on the same day and give up an almost equally large share of it by the end of the quarter. That argues for a shared driver at the upper end, not for an Ethereum-specific weakness.</p>
<p>On September 30 a macro impulse was added on top. The US price index for personal consumption expenditures came in for August at 3.0 percent year on year, below the expected 3.3 percent, and Bitcoin reacted over the course of the day with a jump into the area around $84,750. If you are interested in how a date like that affects your open positions, the section on leverage and liquidation further down is the relevant one.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/ethereum_quartalsbilanz_rekord_marke_3_52e7c7efea.webp" alt="Trading floor at night with empty workstations and coldly glowing, contentless screens" width="1200" height="675">
 <figcaption>
  The turn of the quarter shifts balance sheets, not prices: institutional inflows above all stood behind Ethereum's third quarter.
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="holding-period-and-tax-year-which-key-dates-now-count-for-german-holders">Holding period and tax year: which key dates now count for German holders</h2>
<p>The turn of the quarter is meaningless for tax. What counts for you in Germany is the purchase date of every single position and December 31 as the end of the tax year. Under the law as it currently stands, a gain from the sale of crypto assets remains tax free if more than one year lies between purchase and sale. Within the year, taxation as a private disposal transaction at your personal tax rate applies, and an exemption limit of 1,000 euros applies to the sum of all private disposal transactions in a year.</p>
<p>In practice that means coins you bought in July or August 2026 only reach their one-year deadline in the summer of 2027. Selling the quarterly gain now would be fully taxable. At the same time the deadline for offsetting losses within the tax year expires on December 31: losses from private disposal transactions can only be offset against gains of the same kind, and for that both have to be realised in the same year.</p>
<p>Which position carries which purchase date can only be answered with a complete record once there have been several purchases over the year. If you bring your transactions together from several sources, you would normally use a <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/crypto-tax-software/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">tax tool or a portfolio tracker</a> for that, one that keeps the acquisition dates per inflow. The tax treatment of crypto ETFs and ETPs differs from this; if you invest by that route, you will find the classification in the <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/crypto-etf-germany-buy/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">overview of crypto ETFs in Germany</a>. Only tax advice settles your case in a legally binding way.</p>
<h2 id="buying-ethereum-in-germany-mica-authorisation-fees-and-custody">Buying Ethereum in Germany: MiCA authorisation, fees and custody</h2>
<p>Since the European crypto regulation MiCA, providers addressing retail clients in the EU need authorisation as a crypto-asset service provider. <strong>MiCA</strong> is the EU regulation on markets in crypto assets; it governs authorisation, information duties and the handling of client assets. For you that is not a seal of quality for price performance but information about who is supervised and where to turn with a complaint.</p>
<p>When comparing costs it pays to look at three items that are rarely stated together: the trading fee in percent, the markup in the price itself and the cost of withdrawing to your own wallet. A provider with a low fee and a wide price markup can be more expensive than one with a stated percentage. Which houses work with German clients and what their terms look like is set out in the overview of crypto exchanges for German investors, linked at the end of this article.</p>
<p>The custody question arises independently of that. If the coins stay with the provider, you carry its default risk with it. If they sit in your own wallet, responsibility for access lies with you, and lost access is final. Both are defensible as long as the decision is taken deliberately and not out of habit.</p>
<h2 id="staking-yield-on-ethereum-lock-up-periods-and-the-difference-from-price-movement">Staking yield on Ethereum: lock-up periods and the difference from price movement</h2>
<p>Ethereum is secured through staking, and anyone making their coins available for it receives an ongoing payment in the region of a few percent a year. Two things about that are frequently confused. First, the staking yield is not interest. Payment comes from newly issued coins and transaction fees, and counted in euros the amount falls when the price falls. Second, staked coins are not immediately available. The exit queue stood at times above one million waiting ETH in September 2026, with waiting times of several weeks.</p>
<p>For tax purposes staking income has to be treated as other income in Germany and therefore differently from the price gain. Anyone running both through the same address needs a separate record. The providers with their respective lock-up periods and payout models are set side by side in the overview of staking platforms that you will find at the end of this article.</p>
<h2 id="leverage-and-liquidation-why-the-days-after-a-quarter-end-are-vulnerable">Leverage and liquidation: why the days after a quarter end are vulnerable</h2>
<p>A price standing 3.5 percent below its quarterly high sits in an area where many leveraged positions are tightly set. In a leveraged trade you post only part of the position value as collateral. If that collateral no longer suffices after a price move, the position is closed by force, and that is called liquidation. Because such closures sell in themselves, they amplify the move that triggered them.</p>
<p>Around quarter boundaries this coincides more often: position adjustments by institutional houses, expiring futures contracts and, in this case, the reaction to the US price data of September 30. If you are trading with leverage, the distance between your entry price and your liquidation price is the figure you have to know, not the quarterly return. Without leverage this section does not concern you.</p>
<h2 id="what-the-quarterly-result-does-not-say-about-the-fourth-quarter">What the quarterly result does not say about the fourth quarter</h2>
<p>A record quarter is a statement about the past. No claim to a continuation follows from it, and the statistics of earlier fourth quarters are deliberately not cited here as an argument: the sample is small, and the conditions differ too much from year to year to derive an expectation from them.</p>
<p>Three things are documented at this point: the extent of the advance, the reference points from the measured course and the order of magnitude of the inflows that carried it. Everything said beyond that about October to December is an expectation. Analyst estimates for price targets currently diverge widely, and their spread is itself the most usable information in them.</p>
<h2 id="ethereum-quarterly-result-what-to-take-away">Ethereum quarterly result: what to take away</h2>
<ol>
 <li><strong>Draw up purchase dates, not quarterly returns.</strong> Write down for every position when you bought it, and mark which ones reach the one-year deadline before December 31 and which do not. The <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/crypto-tax-software/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">tax tools and portfolio trackers</a> are suited to bringing several sources together.</li>
 <li><strong>Note the two reference points.</strong> $2,775.17 as the quarterly high and the area around $2,500 below it. Decide in advance what you will do in each of the two cases, rather than in the moment of the move. If part of your coins is staked, the exit period belongs in the same note; the providers' periods are in the overview of <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-staking-rewards-platforms/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">staking platforms</a>.</li>
 <li><strong>Check the costs and custody of your own access.</strong> Trading fee, price markup and withdrawal costs are rarely stated together on a price sheet. The overview of <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/exchange-comparison/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">crypto exchanges</a> shows which providers are authorised under MiCA and what a transfer to your own wallet costs.</li>
</ol>
<p><em>(As of September 30, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)</em></p>
<p>Sources for further reading: the quarterly result at <a href="https://www.finanzen.net/nachricht/devisen/kryptomarkt-ethereum-beendet-q3-mit-dem-besten-quartal-aller-zeiten-pce-heute-14-30-uhr-schwache-us-daten-druecken-zinserhoehungs-odds-00-15959930" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">finanzen.net</a> and the breakdown of ETF inflows at <a href="https://cryptobriefing.com/ethereum-best-q3-performance-ever/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Crypto Briefing</a>.</p>

70.6 Percent in Three Months: Ethereum Books Its Strongest Third Quarter

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