Bitcoin

<p>The <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/prediction/bitcoin-price-prediction/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">bitcoin</a> price stands at around $64,800 on Sunday morning, roughly €58,800 (as of early morning, November 15, CoinGecko data). What is confirmed: overnight, the largest cryptocurrency slid on the US exchange Coinbase to as low as $61,946 between 2 and 3 a.m. CET, then climbed to $65,098 in the following hour, a jump of just over five percent. Our assessment follows further down: the recovery is mainly a flush-out of leverage, not yet a trend reversal.</p>
<p>For investors, one date matters most today. At 1 a.m. CET on Monday night, the weekly candle closes. This is the weekly segment of the price chart that runs from Monday 00:00 to Sunday 24:00 UTC and sums up the week in four values: open, high, low and close. The current week opened last Monday at $74,757. If bitcoin stays where it is now until midnight UTC, the week's loss will be 13.4 percent. At the same hour, the Chicago futures exchange CME reopens after being closed since Friday evening.</p>
<h2 id="bitcoin-price-overnight-from-61-946-to-above-65-000-in-one-hour">Bitcoin price overnight: from $61,946 to above $65,000 in one hour</h2>
<p>The sell-off did not start overnight. At midnight on Saturday, one bitcoin still cost just over $68,200 on Coinbase. In the afternoon, between 3 and 5 p.m., the price slipped first below $66,000 and then below $65,000. Around 11 p.m. it fell to $63,270, and the next leg came after 2 a.m. with the low at $61,946.</p>
<p>Volume stands out. In the hour of the low, around 3,400 bitcoin changed hands on Coinbase, more than in any other hour since the start of the weekend. Late on Saturday evening it was just over 1,800, and on a quiet Saturday morning mostly fewer than 300. Straight afterwards the price turned higher: the hour from 3 to 4 a.m. closed at $64,863, and between 4 and 5 a.m. the high was $65,564. Since then bitcoin has been hovering just below $65,000.</p>
<p>Over 24 hours, the loss is around 3.4 percent, with a daily high of $67,442 and a daily low of $62,081 (CoinGecko, as of Sunday morning). Ether lost 4.4 percent over the same period and costs around $1,815, while Solana gave up six percent.</p>
<h2 id="liquidations-above-2-billion-how-leveraged-positions-sped-up-the-sell-off">Liquidations above $2 billion: how leveraged positions sped up the sell-off</h2>
<p>A liquidation is the forced closure of a leveraged position: once the posted collateral is no longer sufficient, the exchange sells the position itself. Anyone betting on rising prices with tenfold leverage, for example, loses their collateral on a decline of just under ten percent. Each of these forced sales pushes the price lower and can tip the next position below its threshold, setting off a chain reaction.</p>
<p>That is exactly what happened on Saturday. According to <a href="https://www.tokenpost.com/news/investing/57662" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">TokenPost</a>, leveraged positions worth more than $2 billion were forcibly closed within 24 hours, affecting over 320,000 traders. An earlier count by the same outlet on Saturday evening put the figure at $1.96 billion. For bitcoin, that count showed around $645 million in liquidated longs against just $62 million on the short side. Well over nine in ten dollars therefore hit investors who had bet on rising prices.</p>
<p>The rebound after the low fits this picture. Once most leveraged buyers have been forced out of the market, the supply of forced sales dries up. Those who had bet on falling prices take profits and have to buy to do so. Together, both can pull a price higher in a short time without any change in the news.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/bitcoin_prognose_strategy_einstandspreis_1_06387a6f89.webp" alt="Old brass pressure gauge on a dark industrial pipe, the needle at the red mark, with the bitcoin symbol as an orange badge on the dial" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Pressure at the red mark: more than $2 billion in leveraged positions were forcibly closed within 24 hours.
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="since-our-last-bitcoin-price-article-the-60-000-level-was-never-touched">Since our last bitcoin price article: the $60,000 level was never touched</h2>
<p>In our 3 a.m. article, bitcoin stood at $62,000, and the question was whether the round $60,000 level would hold. It was not even tested: the overnight low was almost $1,950 above it. Since then, the price has gained around 4.5 percent.</p>
<p>Compared with the previous morning, the balance looks worse. On Saturday morning bitcoin was still trading at around €60,600, today it is about €58,800, a loss of three percent in euro terms. New since then are Saturday's liquidation wave and the drop in the fear index to 10.</p>
<h2 id="etf-outflows-and-fed-expectations-the-background-to-bitcoin-s-week">ETF outflows and Fed expectations: the background to bitcoin's week</h2>
<p>The week's pressure came mainly from two sources. According to TokenPost, US spot bitcoin ETFs reported net outflows for seven consecutive trading days up to Thursday, November 13, totalling around $1.91 billion. For the week, the funds lost $1.07 billion, the second week in a row with outflows above one billion. Around $399 million left the ether ETFs in the same week.</p>
<p>The second source is the US Federal Reserve. After the October inflation data showed a 0.4 percent rise from the previous month, futures markets are fully pricing in a 0.25 percentage point rate hike in December, according to TokenPost, and another in January is seen as likely. A week earlier, the probability of a January move was still around ten percent. Rising rates make safe assets more attractive and credit more expensive, and both hit risky assets such as bitcoin first.</p>
<p>The ETFs do not trade at the weekend. The next flow data will only come after US trading on Monday, in the early hours of Tuesday European time. Until then the price moves without these buyers and sellers, which makes thin weekend volumes even more fragile.</p>
<h2 id="cme-gap-at-around-68-200-what-the-futures-exchange-reopening-signals">CME gap at around $68,200: what the futures exchange reopening signals</h2>
<p>The CME is the most important regulated exchange for bitcoin futures in the US. Unlike crypto exchanges, it does not trade around the clock: it closes at 11 p.m. CET on Friday and reopens at midnight CET on Sunday. If the price moves sharply over the weekend, a gap opens in the CME chart between Friday's close and Sunday's open.</p>
<p>At Friday's close, one bitcoin cost around $68,200 on Coinbase. At today's price, that leaves a gap of about $3,400, or just over five percent. The exact size will only become clear at the open, because futures usually trade slightly above the spot price due to interest and time to expiry.</p>
<p>In chart jargon this is called an open gap. Whether the price closes it again is uncertain; there is no rule or deadline for that. For Monday, the gap mainly provides a reference point: only at around $68,200 would bitcoin have fully recovered the weekend's decline.</p>
<h2 id="fear-index-at-10-sentiment-falls-for-the-third-day-in-a-row">Fear index at 10: sentiment falls for the third day in a row</h2>
<p>The <a href="https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Alternative.me Fear and Greed Index</a> measures sentiment in the crypto market on a scale from 0 to 100, based on volatility, volume, bitcoin dominance and search trends. Values below 25 count as extreme fear. On Friday it stood at 20, on Saturday at 13, today at 10.</p>
<p>Such a low reading says that many market participants have already sold or hedged. It is not a buy signal with a date attached. Extreme fear can last for days, and the price can keep falling during that time. The indicator describes the situation; it does not set a timing.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/us_inflation_termin_fed_entscheid_9181ffc72d.webp" alt="Large station clock without numerals in a hall at night, next to it the bitcoin symbol engraved in dark stone" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  The bitcoin weekly candle closes at 1 a.m. CET, and the CME reopens at the same hour.
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="weakest-bitcoin-week-since-early-june-comparison-with-the-june-low">Weakest bitcoin week since early June: comparison with the June low</h2>
<p>A weekly loss of 13.4 percent would be the steepest since the week starting June 1, 2026. Back then, bitcoin fell on Coinbase from $73,575 to $63,303, a decline of 14.0 percent. The weeks before and after show how things developed: the price initially recovered, but only found its floor four weeks later. On July 1, the low was $57,718, still the lowest level of the year.</p>
<p>The comparison shows two things. A heavy weekly loss was not the end of the move back then, and after the recovery the price ran a good nine percent lower once more. At the same time, the distance to the yearly low is smaller today than it was then: from the current price to $57,718 is around eleven percent.</p>
<h2 id="bitcoin-levels-for-monday-61-946-65-564-and-68-200">Bitcoin levels for Monday: $61,946, $65,564 and $68,200</h2>
<p>To the downside, the overnight low at $61,946 is the first line. If the price falls below it, the rebound has failed and the round $60,000 level comes within reach. Below that lies the July 1 yearly low at $57,718.</p>
<p>To the upside, the recovery high at $65,564 is the first hurdle, where the price turned lower again early in the morning. Above that comes the 24-hour high at $67,442 and finally the CME's Friday close at around $68,200. Only above this zone would bitcoin have put the weekend behind it.</p>
<p>Anyone thinking about selling at a loss should factor in the tax rules where they live; a <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/crypto-tax-software/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">crypto tax tool</a> records every purchase and sale with date and price.</p>
<h2 id="leverage-and-how-to-buy-at-the-weekend-a-mica-exchange-instead-of-a-margin-account">Leverage and how to buy at the weekend: a MiCA exchange instead of a margin account</h2>
<p>The night showed how quickly leveraged positions disappear at the weekend. On Saturdays and Sundays volumes are thinner, and a large sell order moves the price more than during the week. Anyone trading with leverage should therefore know the liquidation price of every position and check before the weekend whether the posted collateral can withstand a ten percent decline.</p>
<p>Buying without leverage does not need this buffer. Since December 30, 2024, the rules of the EU's MiCA crypto regulation have applied to service providers. Providers that hold or trade crypto assets in the EU need a licence as a crypto-asset service provider. A comparison of crypto exchanges shows which platforms hold such a licence and what buying there costs. Investing small amounts regularly spreads your entry across many prices, so you do not have to hit the right moment.</p>
<h2 id="editorial-view-deleveraging-yes-trend-reversal-no">Editorial view: deleveraging yes, trend reversal no</h2>
<p>Our assessment: the overnight recovery is mainly the end of a liquidation wave. That is supported by the highest hourly volume of the weekend in the hour of the low and by the ratio of around ten to one between liquidated longs and shorts. Against a trend reversal are the ongoing ETF outflows of $1.91 billion over seven trading days and the December rate hike that is already priced in. As long as both burdens remain, there is no reason for a sustained rise. The fear index at 10 at least points to a floor forming, a level at which many sellers have already sold. This assessment is not a buy recommendation; bitcoin can fall significantly further, up to a total loss.</p>
<h2 id="bitcoin-weekly-close-the-overnight-low-at-61-946-is-the-line">Bitcoin weekly close: the overnight low at $61,946 is the line</h2>
<ol>
 <li><strong>Choose how to buy:</strong> If you want to buy after the decline, use an exchange with a MiCA licence and compare fees first in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/exchange-comparison/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">exchange comparison</a>.</li>
 <li><strong>Document losses:</strong> If you sell at a loss, keep a record of every sale, most easily with one of the <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/crypto-tax-software/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">tax tools from our comparison</a>.</li>
 <li><strong>Check your leverage:</strong> If you trade futures, know your liquidation price before the CME opens and compare the platforms' margin rules in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-perp-dex/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">comparison of perp exchanges</a>.</li>
</ol>
<p><em>(As of November 15, 2026. This article is not investment advice. Prices and fee structures change; check the terms with the provider before you buy.)</em></p>

Bitcoin price at $64,800: what the night means for the weekly close

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