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<p><a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-elections/iowa-senate-results" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">NBC News</a>, based on AP data, projects Josh Turek as the winner of the Iowa Senate race against Ashley Hinson. At 10:25 CET the count stood at 50.5 to 46.4 percent with 98.1 percent counted. It is the first Democratic Senate win in Iowa <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">since 2008</a>. The seat is open because Republican Joni Ernst is <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">not seeking a third term</a>. Josh Turek, a Democratic state representative, ran against Ashley Hinson, a Republican US representative endorsed by President Donald Trump. Iowa also elected a governor, and it is the <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">first time since 1968</a> that an open Senate seat and an open governor's office were on the ballot together.</p>
<p><strong>Iowa Senate race: the key facts</strong></p>
<ul>
 <li><strong>Status (10:25 CET):</strong> Turek 686,487 votes (50.5 percent), Hinson 630,615 (46.4 percent), 98.1 percent counted.</li>
 <li><strong>Governor:</strong> NBC News projects Rob Sand as the winner over Zach Lahn, 55.5 to 44.5 percent with 98 percent counted.</li>
 <li><strong>2024:</strong> Donald Trump won Iowa in 2024 with 927,019 votes to 707,278 for Kamala Harris, a margin of 13.2 points.</li>
 <li><strong>Crypto and AI money:</strong> $868,000 from two committees, spent against Turek and for Hinson, according to Tech Influence Watch.</li>
 <li><strong>Prediction market:</strong> the race is called; see <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-election-winner" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Polymarket</a> for the settled market.</li>
</ul>
<h2 id="iowa-election-results-read-the-count-with-care">Iowa election results: read the count with care</h2>
<p>Iowa's polls closed at 03:00 CET. We estimate about 12,000 votes are still out, most of them in Dallas, Lee. With the race called, the remaining votes only change the final margin.</p>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/ia_rest_en_1793783178_fe38f808ba.webp" alt="Bar chart of the Iowa counties with the most estimated votes still out and the margin so far" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Source: AP via NBC News, own estimate
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="iowa-2024-vs-2026-where-the-counties-moved">Iowa 2024 vs 2026: where the counties moved</h2>
<p>Polk County, home to Des Moines, went from D+10.8 in the 2024 presidential race to D+26.7 now, with 95 percent counted. Linn County, around Cedar Rapids, went from D+9.9 in the 2024 presidential race to D+23.9 now, with 95 percent counted. Scott County, around Davenport, went from R+3.9 in the 2024 presidential race to D+12.2 now, with 99 percent counted. Johnson County, home to Iowa City, went from D+37.8 in the 2024 presidential race to D+52.5 now, with 95 percent counted. Across the larger areas with at least half of the count in, the margin moved 16.4 points toward Democrats on average. These figures compare a partial Senate count with a full presidential count, so the final swing can still change. Trump voters who stayed home and Republicans who split their ticket look the same in this table.</p>
<table>
 <thead>
  <tr>
   <th>County</th>
   <th>Trump vs Harris 2024</th>
   <th>Hinson vs Turek 2026</th>
   <th>Counted</th>
  </tr>
 </thead>
 <tbody>
  <tr>
   <td>Polk</td>
   <td>D+10.8</td>
   <td>D+26.7</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Linn</td>
   <td>D+9.9</td>
   <td>D+23.9</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Johnson</td>
   <td>D+37.8</td>
   <td>D+52.5</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Scott</td>
   <td>R+3.9</td>
   <td>D+12.2</td>
   <td>99 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Dallas</td>
   <td>R+4.7</td>
   <td>D+10.7</td>
   <td>88 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Black Hawk</td>
   <td>D+1.2</td>
   <td>D+18.6</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Dubuque</td>
   <td>R+8.6</td>
   <td>D+5.3</td>
   <td>95 %</td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
   <td>Story</td>
   <td>D+10.3</td>
   <td>D+28.2</td>
   <td>99 %</td>
  </tr>
 </tbody>
</table>
<figure><img src="https://cryptoticker-strapi-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/ia_swing_en_1793783178_daf77e8287.webp" alt="Dumbbell chart of the largest Iowa counties comparing the margin in the 2024 presidential race and the 2026 Senate race" width="1920" height="1080">
 <figcaption>
  Source: AP via NBC News, 2024 results via NBC News
 </figcaption>
</figure>
<h2 id="who-are-josh-turek-and-ashley-hinson">Who are Josh Turek and Ashley Hinson?</h2>
<p>Turek has been a state representative from the 20th district since 2023. In June he won the Democratic nomination with about 63 percent over state senator Zach Wahls, <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Iowa" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">according to Wikipedia's race summary</a>. Hinson has represented Iowa's 2nd congressional district since 2021 and won the Republican nomination with about 74 percent over former state senator Jim Carlin. Thomas Laehn is on the ballot for the Libertarian Party. Cost of living, tariffs, health-care costs and AI data centers were among the contested issues: Turek has called for regulating data centers, while Hinson favors AI development.</p>
<h2 id="iowa-governor-s-race-rob-sand-vs-zach-lahn">Iowa governor's race: Rob Sand vs Zach Lahn</h2>
<p>Republican Kim Reynolds is not running for a third term. Rob Sand, the Democratic state auditor, faced Zach Lahn, a Republican businessman who <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iowa_gubernatorial_election" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">won his primary in an upset</a> over Representative Randy Feenstra, whom Trump had endorsed. Before this race, Democrats had last won the governor's office in Iowa in 2006.</p>
<h2 id="iowa-and-crypto-where-the-committee-money-went">Iowa and crypto: where the committee money went</h2>
<p>Most crypto and AI committee money was aimed at the Senate race. <a href="https://influence.citationneeded.news/2026/states/iowa" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Tech Influence Watch</a>, the tracker formerly known as Follow the Crypto, lists $491,234 spent against Turek and $376,836 spent for Hinson by two committees: Digital Freedom Fund, a crypto committee, and Alliance for a Better Future, an AI committee. Digital Freedom Fund accounts for $697,124 of the total. Hinson also drew $142,750 in direct support from Coinbase, Andreessen Horowitz, Winklevoss Capital Management and seven other companies or their executives.</p>
<p>The advocacy group Stand With Crypto <a href="https://www.standwithcrypto.org/us/races/state/ia/senate" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">scores Turek 100 and Hinson 99</a>, so both candidates sit near the top of its scale, yet the committee money went against Turek. For the next attempt at a market structure law, the Iowa seat counts: the Senate did not take up the CLARITY Act on 15 September, as the <a href="https://thedefiant.io/news/regulation/senate-blocks-clarity-act-49-50-with-no-democratic-votes-to-proceed" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">vote to begin debate failed 49 to 50</a>, with no Democrat voting yes, and it needed 60 votes. Whoever takes the Iowa seat votes on the next attempt. Where the bill stands is in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/clarity-act-explained/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">CLARITY Act explainer</a>.</p>
<h2 id="what-iowa-means-for-the-senate">What Iowa means for the Senate</h2>
<p>Republicans went into the night with 53 seats, so Democrats needed a net gain of four for the majority, and Iowa's open seat was one of the Republican 53. NBC News projects Democrats to control the Senate, with 54 seats for Democrats and 44 for Republicans at 10:25 CET. With the majority decided, the races still open decide the size of the margin, not who controls the chamber. All calls and the full Senate table are in our <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/midterm-election-results-2026-live/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">midterm results live ticker</a>. More from the states: <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/kansas-senate-race-results-hamilton-marshall/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Kansas</a>, <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/nebraska-senate-race-results-osborn-ricketts/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Nebraska and the $13.5 million against Dan Osborn</a> and <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/michigan-senate-race-results-el-sayed-rogers/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Michigan and its crypto ETF stake</a>.</p>
<h2 id="what-polymarket-says-about-iowa">What Polymarket says about Iowa</h2>
<p>With the race called, the prediction market has little left to price. The open question for traders is the balance of power in Washington. If you hold coins through a week like this, compare <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-regulated-exchange/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">regulated crypto exchanges</a> and <a href="https://cryptoticker.io/en/comparison/best-crypto-broker/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">crypto brokers</a> first. This article is not investment advice.</p>

Iowa Election Results 2026: Josh Turek Wins the Senate Race, Rob Sand Takes the Governor's Office

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